Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio's strong reelection bid in the D+3 Pennsylvania 17th District drives trader consensus toward an 78% implied probability for a Democratic House winner, bolstered by recent forecaster upgrades including Sabato's Crystal Ball to Safe Democratic on March 31 and Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating. Deluzio, who won with 53.8% in 2024 and faces only minor primary challenger Alec Barlock on May 19, benefits from a weak Republican field pitting Tony Guy against Jesse Vodvarka, who previously withdrew from contention. No district polls exist yet, but the partisan lean and lack of high-profile GOP recruitment underscore limited Republican path to victory ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
80%
共和党
20%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$0 交易量
80%
共和党
$0 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio's strong reelection bid in the D+3 Pennsylvania 17th District drives trader consensus toward an 78% implied probability for a Democratic House winner, bolstered by recent forecaster upgrades including Sabato's Crystal Ball to Safe Democratic on March 31 and Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating. Deluzio, who won with 53.8% in 2024 and faces only minor primary challenger Alec Barlock on May 19, benefits from a weak Republican field pitting Tony Guy against Jesse Vodvarka, who previously withdrew from contention. No district polls exist yet, but the partisan lean and lack of high-profile GOP recruitment underscore limited Republican path to victory ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio's strong reelection bid in the D+3 Pennsylvania 17th District drives trader consensus toward an 78% implied probability for a Democratic House winner, bolstered by recent forecaster upgrades including Sabato's Crystal Ball to Safe Democratic on March 31 and Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating. Deluzio, who won with 53.8% in 2024 and faces only minor primary challenger Alec Barlock on May 19, benefits from a weak Republican field pitting Tony Guy against Jesse Vodvarka, who previously withdrew from contention. No district polls exist yet, but the partisan lean and lack of high-profile GOP recruitment underscore limited Republican path to victory ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio's strong reelection bid in the D+3 Pennsylvania 17th District drives trader consensus toward an 78% implied probability for a Democratic House winner, bolstered by recent forecaster upgrades including Sabato's Crystal Ball to Safe Democratic on March 31 and Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating. Deluzio, who won with 53.8% in 2024 and faces only minor primary challenger Alec Barlock on May 19, benefits from a weak Republican field pitting Tony Guy against Jesse Vodvarka, who previously withdrew from contention. No district polls exist yet, but the partisan lean and lack of high-profile GOP recruitment underscore limited Republican path to victory ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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