California's 9th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the nonpartisan primary set for June 2. Incumbent Representative Josh Harder faces limited opposition in the top-two primary, consistent with nonpartisan forecaster ratings classifying the district as solid or safe Democratic. The area's partisan lean, established voting patterns, and incumbency advantage underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, national political realignment, or unusually high turnout in the general election, though structural factors make such outcomes less probable in this cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,756 交易量
$11,756 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
91%
共和党
9%
$11,756 交易量
$11,756 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,166 交易量
91%
共和党
$2,590 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 9th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the nonpartisan primary set for June 2. Incumbent Representative Josh Harder faces limited opposition in the top-two primary, consistent with nonpartisan forecaster ratings classifying the district as solid or safe Democratic. The area's partisan lean, established voting patterns, and incumbency advantage underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, national political realignment, or unusually high turnout in the general election, though structural factors make such outcomes less probable in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$11,756结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 9th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the nonpartisan primary set for June 2. Incumbent Representative Josh Harder faces limited opposition in the top-two primary, consistent with nonpartisan forecaster ratings classifying the district as solid or safe Democratic. The area's partisan lean, established voting patterns, and incumbency advantage underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, national political realignment, or unusually high turnout in the general election, though structural factors make such outcomes less probable in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,756结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 9th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the nonpartisan primary set for June 2. Incumbent Representative Josh Harder faces limited opposition in the top-two primary, consistent with nonpartisan forecaster ratings classifying the district as solid or safe Democratic. The area's partisan lean, established voting patterns, and incumbency advantage underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, national political realignment, or unusually high turnout in the general election, though structural factors make such outcomes less probable in this cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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