Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district heading into the June 2 top-two primary and November general election, reflecting the seat's deep Democratic lean with voter registration favoring the party by wide margins and a partisan voting index rated D+50. Recent redistricting has further reinforced this advantage through adjustments that favor Democratic candidates in the Silicon Valley area. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with historical outcomes and race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually high Republican turnout wave in a midterm cycle, though neither factor has emerged in current polling or campaign developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$76,170 交易量
$76,170 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$76,170 交易量
$76,170 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$48,949 交易量
93%
共和党
$27,220 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district heading into the June 2 top-two primary and November general election, reflecting the seat's deep Democratic lean with voter registration favoring the party by wide margins and a partisan voting index rated D+50. Recent redistricting has further reinforced this advantage through adjustments that favor Democratic candidates in the Silicon Valley area. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with historical outcomes and race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually high Republican turnout wave in a midterm cycle, though neither factor has emerged in current polling or campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$76,170结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district heading into the June 2 top-two primary and November general election, reflecting the seat's deep Democratic lean with voter registration favoring the party by wide margins and a partisan voting index rated D+50. Recent redistricting has further reinforced this advantage through adjustments that favor Democratic candidates in the Silicon Valley area. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with historical outcomes and race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually high Republican turnout wave in a midterm cycle, though neither factor has emerged in current polling or campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$76,170结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district heading into the June 2 top-two primary and November general election, reflecting the seat's deep Democratic lean with voter registration favoring the party by wide margins and a partisan voting index rated D+50. Recent redistricting has further reinforced this advantage through adjustments that favor Democratic candidates in the Silicon Valley area. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with historical outcomes and race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually high Republican turnout wave in a midterm cycle, though neither factor has emerged in current polling or campaign developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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