The open Wyoming at-large congressional district, vacated by Rep. Harriet Hageman as she seeks a U.S. Senate seat following Sen. Cynthia Lummis's retirement, drives trader consensus toward Republicans at 91%, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan lean, overwhelming GOP voter registration advantage, and historical blowout margins in House races. No Democratic primary candidates have declared ahead of the May 29 filing deadline and August 18 primary, with ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all deeming it Solid or Safe Republican. A crowded GOP field led by Secretary of State Chuck Gray underscores primary competition, but the general election winner is expected to be the Republican nominee. Scenarios challenging this include a late high-profile Democratic entrant, post-primary GOP scandal, or unprecedented national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
91%
民主党
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$4,033 交易量
91%
民主党
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Wyoming at-large congressional district, vacated by Rep. Harriet Hageman as she seeks a U.S. Senate seat following Sen. Cynthia Lummis's retirement, drives trader consensus toward Republicans at 91%, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan lean, overwhelming GOP voter registration advantage, and historical blowout margins in House races. No Democratic primary candidates have declared ahead of the May 29 filing deadline and August 18 primary, with ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all deeming it Solid or Safe Republican. A crowded GOP field led by Secretary of State Chuck Gray underscores primary competition, but the general election winner is expected to be the Republican nominee. Scenarios challenging this include a late high-profile Democratic entrant, post-primary GOP scandal, or unprecedented national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$4,033结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Wyoming at-large congressional district, vacated by Rep. Harriet Hageman as she seeks a U.S. Senate seat following Sen. Cynthia Lummis's retirement, drives trader consensus toward Republicans at 91%, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan lean, overwhelming GOP voter registration advantage, and historical blowout margins in House races. No Democratic primary candidates have declared ahead of the May 29 filing deadline and August 18 primary, with ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all deeming it Solid or Safe Republican. A crowded GOP field led by Secretary of State Chuck Gray underscores primary competition, but the general election winner is expected to be the Republican nominee. Scenarios challenging this include a late high-profile Democratic entrant, post-primary GOP scandal, or unprecedented national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,033结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Wyoming at-large congressional district, vacated by Rep. Harriet Hageman as she seeks a U.S. Senate seat following Sen. Cynthia Lummis's retirement, drives trader consensus toward Republicans at 91%, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan lean, overwhelming GOP voter registration advantage, and historical blowout margins in House races. No Democratic primary candidates have declared ahead of the May 29 filing deadline and August 18 primary, with ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all deeming it Solid or Safe Republican. A crowded GOP field led by Secretary of State Chuck Gray underscores primary competition, but the general election winner is expected to be the Republican nominee. Scenarios challenging this include a late high-profile Democratic entrant, post-primary GOP scandal, or unprecedented national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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