Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna's commanding position in California's 17th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 95.1% for the November 3 general election winner. Khanna's $15 million cash on hand dwarfs challengers, including primary rivals Ethan Agarwal and Mike Katz (both Democrats) and repeat Republican loser Ritesh Tandon, following the March 6 filing deadline. Historical margins—67.7% in 2024, 70.9% in 2022—over weak GOP opponents in this Silicon Valley bastion underscore the lopsided dynamics ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, likely advancing a Democrat. Scenarios like a Khanna scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national Republican wave could shift odds, though barriers remain high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,805 交易量
95%
共和党
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna's commanding position in California's 17th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 95.1% for the November 3 general election winner. Khanna's $15 million cash on hand dwarfs challengers, including primary rivals Ethan Agarwal and Mike Katz (both Democrats) and repeat Republican loser Ritesh Tandon, following the March 6 filing deadline. Historical margins—67.7% in 2024, 70.9% in 2022—over weak GOP opponents in this Silicon Valley bastion underscore the lopsided dynamics ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, likely advancing a Democrat. Scenarios like a Khanna scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national Republican wave could shift odds, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
交易量
$5,805结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna's commanding position in California's 17th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 95.1% for the November 3 general election winner. Khanna's $15 million cash on hand dwarfs challengers, including primary rivals Ethan Agarwal and Mike Katz (both Democrats) and repeat Republican loser Ritesh Tandon, following the March 6 filing deadline. Historical margins—67.7% in 2024, 70.9% in 2022—over weak GOP opponents in this Silicon Valley bastion underscore the lopsided dynamics ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, likely advancing a Democrat. Scenarios like a Khanna scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national Republican wave could shift odds, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,805结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna's commanding position in California's 17th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 95.1% for the November 3 general election winner. Khanna's $15 million cash on hand dwarfs challengers, including primary rivals Ethan Agarwal and Mike Katz (both Democrats) and repeat Republican loser Ritesh Tandon, following the March 6 filing deadline. Historical margins—67.7% in 2024, 70.9% in 2022—over weak GOP opponents in this Silicon Valley bastion underscore the lopsided dynamics ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, likely advancing a Democrat. Scenarios like a Khanna scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national Republican wave could shift odds, though barriers remain high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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