Incumbent Ro Khanna's re-election bid anchors trader consensus for a Democratic victory in California's 17th congressional district. The South Bay seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Khanna's prior general-election margins exceeding 35 points. Multiple Democratic challengers have filed for the June 2 top-two primary, but Republican candidates remain limited in profile and resources. Filing deadlines closed without significant late entrants or shifts that would alter the general-election landscape. This combination of incumbency, district demographics in Alameda and Santa Clara counties, and weak opposition sustains the implied probability that a Democrat will prevail in November, though an unusually strong Republican primary performance or unexpected national wave could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
97%
共和党
2%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,587 交易量
97%
共和党
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ro Khanna's re-election bid anchors trader consensus for a Democratic victory in California's 17th congressional district. The South Bay seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Khanna's prior general-election margins exceeding 35 points. Multiple Democratic challengers have filed for the June 2 top-two primary, but Republican candidates remain limited in profile and resources. Filing deadlines closed without significant late entrants or shifts that would alter the general-election landscape. This combination of incumbency, district demographics in Alameda and Santa Clara counties, and weak opposition sustains the implied probability that a Democrat will prevail in November, though an unusually strong Republican primary performance or unexpected national wave could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
交易量
$7,587结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ro Khanna's re-election bid anchors trader consensus for a Democratic victory in California's 17th congressional district. The South Bay seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Khanna's prior general-election margins exceeding 35 points. Multiple Democratic challengers have filed for the June 2 top-two primary, but Republican candidates remain limited in profile and resources. Filing deadlines closed without significant late entrants or shifts that would alter the general-election landscape. This combination of incumbency, district demographics in Alameda and Santa Clara counties, and weak opposition sustains the implied probability that a Democrat will prevail in November, though an unusually strong Republican primary performance or unexpected national wave could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,587结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ro Khanna's re-election bid anchors trader consensus for a Democratic victory in California's 17th congressional district. The South Bay seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Khanna's prior general-election margins exceeding 35 points. Multiple Democratic challengers have filed for the June 2 top-two primary, but Republican candidates remain limited in profile and resources. Filing deadlines closed without significant late entrants or shifts that would alter the general-election landscape. This combination of incumbency, district demographics in Alameda and Santa Clara counties, and weak opposition sustains the implied probability that a Democrat will prevail in November, though an unusually strong Republican primary performance or unexpected national wave could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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