Recent polls and forecaster ratings have driven trader consensus toward Democrat Amy Acton as a slight favorite over Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in Ohio's open-seat gubernatorial race, with Polymarket implying a 56.5% chance for the Democratic nominee ahead of the May 5 primaries. A Quantus Insights survey from mid-March showed Acton edging Ramaswamy 46%-45% among likely voters, while an EMC Research poll had her up 53%-43%, yielding polling averages around a 1-5 point Democratic lead per 270toWin and Decision Desk HQ. Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican last week, citing Ramaswamy's baggage and Ohio voters' preference for traditional Republicans in a competitive battleground environment amid low national GOP approval. Ramaswamy's $10 million ad blitz launched March 18, but the matchup remains closely contested with primaries looming.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$69,922 交易量
$69,922 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
56%
共和党
43%
$69,922 交易量
$69,922 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$35,775 交易量
56%
共和党
$34,147 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls and forecaster ratings have driven trader consensus toward Democrat Amy Acton as a slight favorite over Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in Ohio's open-seat gubernatorial race, with Polymarket implying a 56.5% chance for the Democratic nominee ahead of the May 5 primaries. A Quantus Insights survey from mid-March showed Acton edging Ramaswamy 46%-45% among likely voters, while an EMC Research poll had her up 53%-43%, yielding polling averages around a 1-5 point Democratic lead per 270toWin and Decision Desk HQ. Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican last week, citing Ramaswamy's baggage and Ohio voters' preference for traditional Republicans in a competitive battleground environment amid low national GOP approval. Ramaswamy's $10 million ad blitz launched March 18, but the matchup remains closely contested with primaries looming.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$69,922结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls and forecaster ratings have driven trader consensus toward Democrat Amy Acton as a slight favorite over Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in Ohio's open-seat gubernatorial race, with Polymarket implying a 56.5% chance for the Democratic nominee ahead of the May 5 primaries. A Quantus Insights survey from mid-March showed Acton edging Ramaswamy 46%-45% among likely voters, while an EMC Research poll had her up 53%-43%, yielding polling averages around a 1-5 point Democratic lead per 270toWin and Decision Desk HQ. Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican last week, citing Ramaswamy's baggage and Ohio voters' preference for traditional Republicans in a competitive battleground environment amid low national GOP approval. Ramaswamy's $10 million ad blitz launched March 18, but the matchup remains closely contested with primaries looming.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$69,922结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls and forecaster ratings have driven trader consensus toward Democrat Amy Acton as a slight favorite over Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in Ohio's open-seat gubernatorial race, with Polymarket implying a 56.5% chance for the Democratic nominee ahead of the May 5 primaries. A Quantus Insights survey from mid-March showed Acton edging Ramaswamy 46%-45% among likely voters, while an EMC Research poll had her up 53%-43%, yielding polling averages around a 1-5 point Democratic lead per 270toWin and Decision Desk HQ. Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican last week, citing Ramaswamy's baggage and Ohio voters' preference for traditional Republicans in a competitive battleground environment amid low national GOP approval. Ramaswamy's $10 million ad blitz launched March 18, but the matchup remains closely contested with primaries looming.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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