Recent polls, including Quantus Insights (March 16) showing Amy Acton at 46% to Vivek Ramaswamy's 45% and EMC Research (March 10) with Acton up 53%-43%, have driven trader consensus toward a slight Democratic edge in this open-seat Ohio governor race, matching the closely contested 53.5%-45.0% market pricing. Forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted ratings toward Democrats last week, citing Democratic momentum despite Republicans' fundraising dominance and Ramaswamy's $10 million ad blitz launch on March 17. As a swing state with no incumbent after Mike DeWine's term limit, the May 5 primaries—where Ramaswamy leads GOP polls overwhelmingly and Acton is unopposed—could consolidate support, while national midterm dynamics, turnout in battleground areas, and debates may tip the balance by November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$68,776 交易量
$68,776 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
54%
共和党
45%
$68,776 交易量
$68,776 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$34,707 交易量
54%
共和党
$34,069 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls, including Quantus Insights (March 16) showing Amy Acton at 46% to Vivek Ramaswamy's 45% and EMC Research (March 10) with Acton up 53%-43%, have driven trader consensus toward a slight Democratic edge in this open-seat Ohio governor race, matching the closely contested 53.5%-45.0% market pricing. Forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted ratings toward Democrats last week, citing Democratic momentum despite Republicans' fundraising dominance and Ramaswamy's $10 million ad blitz launch on March 17. As a swing state with no incumbent after Mike DeWine's term limit, the May 5 primaries—where Ramaswamy leads GOP polls overwhelmingly and Acton is unopposed—could consolidate support, while national midterm dynamics, turnout in battleground areas, and debates may tip the balance by November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$68,776结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls, including Quantus Insights (March 16) showing Amy Acton at 46% to Vivek Ramaswamy's 45% and EMC Research (March 10) with Acton up 53%-43%, have driven trader consensus toward a slight Democratic edge in this open-seat Ohio governor race, matching the closely contested 53.5%-45.0% market pricing. Forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted ratings toward Democrats last week, citing Democratic momentum despite Republicans' fundraising dominance and Ramaswamy's $10 million ad blitz launch on March 17. As a swing state with no incumbent after Mike DeWine's term limit, the May 5 primaries—where Ramaswamy leads GOP polls overwhelmingly and Acton is unopposed—could consolidate support, while national midterm dynamics, turnout in battleground areas, and debates may tip the balance by November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$68,776结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including Quantus Insights (March 16) showing Amy Acton at 46% to Vivek Ramaswamy's 45% and EMC Research (March 10) with Acton up 53%-43%, have driven trader consensus toward a slight Democratic edge in this open-seat Ohio governor race, matching the closely contested 53.5%-45.0% market pricing. Forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted ratings toward Democrats last week, citing Democratic momentum despite Republicans' fundraising dominance and Ramaswamy's $10 million ad blitz launch on March 17. As a swing state with no incumbent after Mike DeWine's term limit, the May 5 primaries—where Ramaswamy leads GOP polls overwhelmingly and Acton is unopposed—could consolidate support, while national midterm dynamics, turnout in battleground areas, and debates may tip the balance by November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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