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icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$305,912 交易量

2026-11-03
Polymarket

$305,912 交易量

Polymarket

California

$12,143 交易量

95%

Texas

$7,231 交易量

93%

North Carolina

$11,572 交易量

96%

Ohio

$6,639 交易量

95%

Utah

$66,886 交易量

89%

Florida

$2,148 交易量

87%

Louisiana

$15,880 交易量

93%

Missouri

$3,960 交易量

84%

Virginia

$7,130 交易量

6%

Alabama

$16,060 交易量

76%

South Carolina

$27,150 交易量

8%

Georgia

$7,291 交易量

5%

Kansas

$6,211 交易量

9%

New Jersey

$5,044 交易量

6%

Indiana

$30,631 交易量

6%

Washington

$6,123 交易量

7%

Nebraska

$6,895 交易量

4%

Illinois

$11,133 交易量

4%

Minnesota

$9,741 交易量

2%

New York

$15,223 交易量

3%

Maryland

$12,031 交易量

8%

Wisconsin

$18,788 交易量

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.**Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms through mid-decade redistricting.** This unusual wave began in summer 2025 after President Trump urged Republican-led legislatures to redraw lines for potential partisan gains, leading to special sessions in states like Texas, Missouri, North Carolina, Florida, and Tennessee. California voters approved a ballot measure in November 2025 enabling legislative maps that offset some Republican advantages elsewhere. Litigation tied to Voting Rights Act cases and Supreme Court rulings prompted map changes in Alabama, Louisiana, and Utah. Several new maps face ongoing legal challenges or referendums, while primaries in affected districts proceed under revised lines. The 2026 elections on November 3 will determine final usage amid possible further court interventions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$305,912
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.**Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms through mid-decade redistricting.** This unusual wave began in summer 2025 after President Trump urged Republican-led legislatures to redraw lines for potential partisan gains, leading to special sessions in states like Texas, Missouri, North Carolina, Florida, and Tennessee. California voters approved a ballot measure in November 2025 enabling legislative maps that offset some Republican advantages elsewhere. Litigation tied to Voting Rights Act cases and Supreme Court rulings prompted map changes in Alabama, Louisiana, and Utah. Several new maps face ongoing legal challenges or referendums, while primaries in affected districts proceed under revised lines. The 2026 elections on November 3 will determine final usage amid possible further court interventions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$305,912
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

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常见问题

"Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 22 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"North Carolina",概率为 96%,其次是"California",概率为 95%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 96¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 96%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?"已产生 $305.9K 的总交易量(自Apr 30, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 22 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?"的当前领先者是"North Carolina",概率为 96%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 96%。紧随其后的结果是"California",概率为 95%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。