Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus stems from its incumbency edge and polling leads ahead of Armenia's June 7 proportional representation parliamentary election, where the largest vote share secures plurality dominance in the 101-seat National Assembly. Recent IRI (February, released March 6) and EVN Report surveys show the ruling party at 24-26% base support, rising to 40% with undecided leaners (30% of voters), while opposition fragments: Strong Armenia at 9-12%, Armenia Alliance (Kocharyan's bloc) at 3%, and others below the 4-5% thresholds. Pashinyan's March 26 war warnings against Azerbaijan and victory prediction rally peace-focused voters, amid EU integration priorities and splintered pro-Russian forces from 2021's 21% opposition share. Late opposition consolidation or turnout shifts could challenge odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedCivil Contract 83%
Armenia Alliance 12%
Bright Armenia 4.6%
I Have Honor Alliance 1.7%
$89,025 Vol.
$89,025 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Civil Contract
83%
Armenia Alliance
12%
Bright Armenia
5%
I Have Honor Alliance
2%
Armenian National Congress
<1%
Prosperous Armenia
<1%
Hanrapetutyun Party
<1%
Orinats Yerkir
<1%
Heritage
<1%
Civil Contract 83%
Armenia Alliance 12%
Bright Armenia 4.6%
I Have Honor Alliance 1.7%
$89,025 Vol.
$89,025 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Civil Contract
$38,348 Vol.
83%
Armenia Alliance
$48,766 Vol.
12%
Bright Armenia
$1,911 Vol.
5%
I Have Honor Alliance
$0 Vol.
2%
Armenian National Congress
$0 Vol.
<1%
Prosperous Armenia
$0 Vol.
<1%
Hanrapetutyun Party
$0 Vol.
<1%
Orinats Yerkir
$0 Vol.
<1%
Heritage
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus stems from its incumbency edge and polling leads ahead of Armenia's June 7 proportional representation parliamentary election, where the largest vote share secures plurality dominance in the 101-seat National Assembly. Recent IRI (February, released March 6) and EVN Report surveys show the ruling party at 24-26% base support, rising to 40% with undecided leaners (30% of voters), while opposition fragments: Strong Armenia at 9-12%, Armenia Alliance (Kocharyan's bloc) at 3%, and others below the 4-5% thresholds. Pashinyan's March 26 war warnings against Azerbaijan and victory prediction rally peace-focused voters, amid EU integration priorities and splintered pro-Russian forces from 2021's 21% opposition share. Late opposition consolidation or turnout shifts could challenge odds.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Market Opened: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$89,025End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus stems from its incumbency edge and polling leads ahead of Armenia's June 7 proportional representation parliamentary election, where the largest vote share secures plurality dominance in the 101-seat National Assembly. Recent IRI (February, released March 6) and EVN Report surveys show the ruling party at 24-26% base support, rising to 40% with undecided leaners (30% of voters), while opposition fragments: Strong Armenia at 9-12%, Armenia Alliance (Kocharyan's bloc) at 3%, and others below the 4-5% thresholds. Pashinyan's March 26 war warnings against Azerbaijan and victory prediction rally peace-focused voters, amid EU integration priorities and splintered pro-Russian forces from 2021's 21% opposition share. Late opposition consolidation or turnout shifts could challenge odds.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$89,025End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus stems from its incumbency edge and polling leads ahead of Armenia's June 7 proportional representation parliamentary election, where the largest vote share secures plurality dominance in the 101-seat National Assembly. Recent IRI (February, released March 6) and EVN Report surveys show the ruling party at 24-26% base support, rising to 40% with undecided leaners (30% of voters), while opposition fragments: Strong Armenia at 9-12%, Armenia Alliance (Kocharyan's bloc) at 3%, and others below the 4-5% thresholds. Pashinyan's March 26 war warnings against Azerbaijan and victory prediction rally peace-focused voters, amid EU integration priorities and splintered pro-Russian forces from 2021's 21% opposition share. Late opposition consolidation or turnout shifts could challenge odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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