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Politics·Primaries

Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Ethan Corson 71%

Cindy Holscher 29%

Marty Tuley 1.0%

Polymarket

$52,147 Vol.

Ethan Corson 71%

Cindy Holscher 29%

Marty Tuley 1.0%

Polymarket

$52,147 Vol.

Ethan Corson

$1,284 Vol.

71%

Cindy Holscher

$1,511 Vol.

29%

Marty Tuley

$49,352 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Ethan Corson leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability to win the Kansas Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 4, driven by key endorsements from incumbent Gov. Laura Kelly, former Gov. Kathleen Sebelius, Lt. Gov. David Toland, major unions, and Planned Parenthood (March 23), signaling strong party establishment support. His fundraising dominance—over $900,000 raised in 2025 with substantial cash reserves—positions him for superior visibility in the three-way race against Sens. Cindy Holscher and challenger Marty Tuley. Holscher's 28.5% reflects her January campaign poll lead amid high undecideds, but lacks comparable backing. The March 8 debate highlighted shared priorities like affordability, health care, and rural Kansas, with no post-event polls shifting dynamics; June 1 filing deadline looms as next catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$52,147
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Ethan Corson leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability to win the Kansas Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 4, driven by key endorsements from incumbent Gov. Laura Kelly, former Gov. Kathleen Sebelius, Lt. Gov. David Toland, major unions, and Planned Parenthood (March 23), signaling strong party establishment support. His fundraising dominance—over $900,000 raised in 2025 with substantial cash reserves—positions him for superior visibility in the three-way race against Sens. Cindy Holscher and challenger Marty Tuley. Holscher's 28.5% reflects her January campaign poll lead amid high undecideds, but lacks comparable backing. The March 8 debate highlighted shared priorities like affordability, health care, and rural Kansas, with no post-event polls shifting dynamics; June 1 filing deadline looms as next catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$52,147
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ethan Corson" at 71%, followed by "Cindy Holscher" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $52.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Ethan Corson" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cindy Holscher" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.