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Politics·Primaries

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Sharice Davids 22%

Christy Davis 15%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 10.8%

Patrick Schmidt 7.2%

Polymarket

$83,763 Vol.

Sharice Davids 22%

Christy Davis 15%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 10.8%

Patrick Schmidt 7.2%

Polymarket

$83,763 Vol.

Sharice Davids

$2,486 Vol.

28%

Christy Davis

$32,693 Vol.

21%

Sandy Spidel Neumann

$29,058 Vol.

11%

Patrick Schmidt

$499 Vol.

7%

Anne Parelkar

$17,379 Vol.

4%

Michael Soetaert

$1,646 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary, set for August 4, 2026, favors Rep. Sharice Davids at 29% implied probability due to her incumbency in the competitive KS-3 House seat and superior statewide name recognition, despite her not yet declaring candidacy ahead of the June 1 filing deadline. Christy Davis trails closely at 21%, buoyed by her experience as former Kansas USDA Rural Development director and early campaign momentum appealing to rural voters. The race remains tight amid a crowded seven-candidate field splitting support, with modest fundraising—Sandy Spidel Neumann leading cash on hand at $127,000 as of late 2025—and no public polls or major endorsements to date. Developments like Davids' entry decision, fresh FEC reports, party backing from Gov. Laura Kelly, or early primary debates could consolidate odds and create separation.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$83,763
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary, set for August 4, 2026, favors Rep. Sharice Davids at 29% implied probability due to her incumbency in the competitive KS-3 House seat and superior statewide name recognition, despite her not yet declaring candidacy ahead of the June 1 filing deadline. Christy Davis trails closely at 21%, buoyed by her experience as former Kansas USDA Rural Development director and early campaign momentum appealing to rural voters. The race remains tight amid a crowded seven-candidate field splitting support, with modest fundraising—Sandy Spidel Neumann leading cash on hand at $127,000 as of late 2025—and no public polls or major endorsements to date. Developments like Davids' entry decision, fresh FEC reports, party backing from Gov. Laura Kelly, or early primary debates could consolidate odds and create separation.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$83,763
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sharice Davids" at 28%, followed by "Christy Davis" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $83.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Sharice Davids" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Christy Davis" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.