Christine Drazan holds 89% trader consensus as the Republican nominee in Oregon's May 19 gubernatorial primary, reflecting April polls from Nelson Research and Hoffman Research showing her at 35-37% among likely GOP voters—double Ed Diehl's 18% and Chris Dudley's 14-18%—despite 25% undecided. Her edge stems from strong name recognition as the 2022 nominee who nearly won statewide, an OregonLive editorial endorsement, and a focused campaign on primary concerns like taxes and homelessness. Recent debates and May 13 fundraising reports, with Dudley slightly ahead in contributions, have not shifted polling averages, underscoring her frontrunner path to plurality in the 14-candidate field as ballots return.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChristine Drazan 90%
Ed Diehl 6.5%
Chris Dudley 3.8%
Danielle Bethell <1%
$111,650 Vol.
$111,650 Vol.
May 19, 2026
Christine Drazan
90%
Ed Diehl
7%
Chris Dudley
4%
Danielle Bethell
1%
Kyle Duyck
<1%
Robert Neuman
<1%
Chael Sonnen
<1%
Caleb Kintz
<1%
Brad T. Peters
<1%
David Medina
<1%
Patrick Kopke-Hales
<1%
Christine Drazan 90%
Ed Diehl 6.5%
Chris Dudley 3.8%
Danielle Bethell <1%
$111,650 Vol.
$111,650 Vol.
May 19, 2026
Christine Drazan
$22,680 Vol.
90%
Ed Diehl
$6,816 Vol.
7%
Chris Dudley
$13,255 Vol.
4%
Danielle Bethell
$8,624 Vol.
1%
Kyle Duyck
$19,668 Vol.
<1%
Robert Neuman
$10,474 Vol.
<1%
Chael Sonnen
$12,298 Vol.
<1%
Caleb Kintz
$5,307 Vol.
<1%
Brad T. Peters
$3,954 Vol.
<1%
David Medina
$4,102 Vol.
<1%
Patrick Kopke-Hales
$4,471 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Christine Drazan holds 89% trader consensus as the Republican nominee in Oregon's May 19 gubernatorial primary, reflecting April polls from Nelson Research and Hoffman Research showing her at 35-37% among likely GOP voters—double Ed Diehl's 18% and Chris Dudley's 14-18%—despite 25% undecided. Her edge stems from strong name recognition as the 2022 nominee who nearly won statewide, an OregonLive editorial endorsement, and a focused campaign on primary concerns like taxes and homelessness. Recent debates and May 13 fundraising reports, with Dudley slightly ahead in contributions, have not shifted polling averages, underscoring her frontrunner path to plurality in the 14-candidate field as ballots return.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Volume
$111,650End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Christine Drazan holds 89% trader consensus as the Republican nominee in Oregon's May 19 gubernatorial primary, reflecting April polls from Nelson Research and Hoffman Research showing her at 35-37% among likely GOP voters—double Ed Diehl's 18% and Chris Dudley's 14-18%—despite 25% undecided. Her edge stems from strong name recognition as the 2022 nominee who nearly won statewide, an OregonLive editorial endorsement, and a focused campaign on primary concerns like taxes and homelessness. Recent debates and May 13 fundraising reports, with Dudley slightly ahead in contributions, have not shifted polling averages, underscoring her frontrunner path to plurality in the 14-candidate field as ballots return.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$111,650End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christine Drazan holds 89% trader consensus as the Republican nominee in Oregon's May 19 gubernatorial primary, reflecting April polls from Nelson Research and Hoffman Research showing her at 35-37% among likely GOP voters—double Ed Diehl's 18% and Chris Dudley's 14-18%—despite 25% undecided. Her edge stems from strong name recognition as the 2022 nominee who nearly won statewide, an OregonLive editorial endorsement, and a focused campaign on primary concerns like taxes and homelessness. Recent debates and May 13 fundraising reports, with Dudley slightly ahead in contributions, have not shifted polling averages, underscoring her frontrunner path to plurality in the 14-candidate field as ballots return.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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