Market icon

Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?

>99% chance

$1,611,221 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Bolsonaro is arrested between July 22 and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,611,221
End Date
Aug 31, 2025
Created At
Jul 22, 2025, 11:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Bolsonaro is arrested between July 22 and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?

>99% chance

$1,611,221 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Bolsonaro is arrested between July 22 and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,611,221
End Date
Aug 31, 2025
Created At
Jul 22, 2025, 11:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Bolsonaro is arrested between July 22 and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.