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Turnout in 2026 Japanese Snap Election?

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Turnout in 2026 Japanese Snap Election?

56–58% 100.0%

<50% <1%

50–52% <1%

52–54% <1%

Polymarket

$125,672 Vol.

56–58% 100.0%

<50% <1%

50–52% <1%

52–54% <1%

Polymarket

$125,672 Vol.

<50%

$17,737 Vol.

No

50–52%

$11,132 Vol.

No

52–54%

$7,452 Vol.

No

54–56%

$22,708 Vol.

No

56–58%

$23,213 Vol.

Yes

58–60%

$13,985 Vol.

No

60%+

$29,444 Vol.

No

General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).
Volume
$125,672
End Date
Feb 8, 2026
Created At
Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Turnout in 2026 Japanese Snap Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "56–58%" at 100%, followed by "<50%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Turnout in 2026 Japanese Snap Election?" has generated $125.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Turnout in 2026 Japanese Snap Election?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Turnout in 2026 Japanese Snap Election?" is "56–58%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<50%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Turnout in 2026 Japanese Snap Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.