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Politics·Global Elections

Terrebone By-Election Winner

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

Terrebone By-Election Winner

Tatiana Auguste 54%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 43%

Maria Cantore 1.6%

Maxime Beaudoin <1%

Polymarket

$44,263 Vol.

Tatiana Auguste 54%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 43%

Maria Cantore 1.6%

Maxime Beaudoin <1%

Polymarket

$44,263 Vol.

Market icon

Tatiana Auguste

$14,922 Vol.

54%

Market icon

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné

$9,228 Vol.

43%

Market icon

Maria Cantore

$5,796 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Maxime Beaudoin

$5,767 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Adrienne Charles

$4,718 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Benjamin Rankin

$3,833 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Trader consensus slightly favors Liberal Tatiana Auguste at 53.5% to reclaim the Terrebonne seat in the April 13 federal by-election, edging out Bloc Québécois challenger Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné at 42.5% in a rematch of their razor-thin 2025 contest annulled by the Supreme Court on February 13 due to electoral irregularities. Recent polling projections, including a March 25 estimate giving Liberals 40.7% support and an 81% win probability, reflect Auguste's incumbency momentum from her brief prior term amid a fragmented field of nearly 50 candidates, with Elections Canada's adapted write-in ballots announced March 25 potentially complicating minor contenders but solidifying the top-two duel. Sinclair-Desgagné's March 12 platform launch and rallies highlight Bloc strengths in this Quebec battleground, keeping the race competitive as turnout and voter clarity loom large.

Trader consensus slightly favors Liberal Tatiana Auguste at 53.5% to reclaim the Terrebonne seat in the April 13 federal by-election, edging out Bloc Québécois challenger Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné at 42.5% in a rematch of their razor-thin 2025 contest annulled by the Supreme Court on February 13 due to electoral irregularities. Recent polling projections, including a March 25 estimate giving Liberals 40.7% support and an 81% win probability, reflect Auguste's incumbency momentum from her brief prior term amid a fragmented field of nearly 50 candidates, with Elections Canada's adapted write-in ballots announced March 25 potentially complicating minor contenders but solidifying the top-two duel. Sinclair-Desgagné's March 12 platform launch and rallies highlight Bloc strengths in this Quebec battleground, keeping the race competitive as turnout and voter clarity loom large.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Trader consensus slightly favors Liberal Tatiana Auguste at 53.5% to reclaim the Terrebonne seat in the April 13 federal by-election, edging out Bloc Québécois challenger Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné at 42.5% in a rematch of their razor-thin 2025 contest annulled by the Supreme Court on February 13 due to electoral irregularities. Recent polling projections, including a March 25 estimate giving Liberals 40.7% support and an 81% win probability, reflect Auguste's incumbency momentum from her brief prior term amid a fragmented field of nearly 50 candidates, with Elections Canada's adapted write-in ballots announced March 25 potentially complicating minor contenders but solidifying the top-two duel. Sinclair-Desgagné's March 12 platform launch and rallies highlight Bloc strengths in this Quebec battleground, keeping the race competitive as turnout and voter clarity loom large.

Trader consensus slightly favors Liberal Tatiana Auguste at 53.5% to reclaim the Terrebonne seat in the April 13 federal by-election, edging out Bloc Québécois challenger Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné at 42.5% in a rematch of their razor-thin 2025 contest annulled by the Supreme Court on February 13 due to electoral irregularities. Recent polling projections, including a March 25 estimate giving Liberals 40.7% support and an 81% win probability, reflect Auguste's incumbency momentum from her brief prior term amid a fragmented field of nearly 50 candidates, with Elections Canada's adapted write-in ballots announced March 25 potentially complicating minor contenders but solidifying the top-two duel. Sinclair-Desgagné's March 12 platform launch and rallies highlight Bloc strengths in this Quebec battleground, keeping the race competitive as turnout and voter clarity loom large.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Terrebone By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tatiana Auguste" at 54%, followed by "Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Terrebone By-Election Winner" has generated $44.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Terrebone By-Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Terrebone By-Election Winner" is "Tatiana Auguste" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Terrebone By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.