Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in Saxony-Anhalt's Landtag election on September 6, driven by consistent double-digit polling leads in recent Sonntagsfragen. The latest INSA survey (March 17-24) shows AfD at 38%, ahead of CDU (25%) and surging Die Linke (13%), with SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Greens (4%), and FDP (3%) trailing far behind the 5% threshold for parliamentary entry in some scenarios. AfD's dominance reflects dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under new Minister-President Sven Schulze, elected January 28, amid stable eastern German trends favoring the party. No major shifts in the past 30 days, but an absolute AfD majority remains possible if smaller parties falter, projecting 36 seats for AfD out of 83.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 90%
CDU 9.3%
SPD <1%
The Left <1%
$515,668 Vol.
$515,668 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
90%
CDU
9%
SPD
1%
The Left
<1%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
The Greens
<1%
AfD 90%
CDU 9.3%
SPD <1%
The Left <1%
$515,668 Vol.
$515,668 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
$4,822 Vol.
90%
CDU
$461,944 Vol.
9%
SPD
$36,260 Vol.
1%
The Left
$1,884 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$2,379 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$5,872 Vol.
<1%
The Greens
$2,509 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in Saxony-Anhalt's Landtag election on September 6, driven by consistent double-digit polling leads in recent Sonntagsfragen. The latest INSA survey (March 17-24) shows AfD at 38%, ahead of CDU (25%) and surging Die Linke (13%), with SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Greens (4%), and FDP (3%) trailing far behind the 5% threshold for parliamentary entry in some scenarios. AfD's dominance reflects dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under new Minister-President Sven Schulze, elected January 28, amid stable eastern German trends favoring the party. No major shifts in the past 30 days, but an absolute AfD majority remains possible if smaller parties falter, projecting 36 seats for AfD out of 83.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$515,668End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in Saxony-Anhalt's Landtag election on September 6, driven by consistent double-digit polling leads in recent Sonntagsfragen. The latest INSA survey (March 17-24) shows AfD at 38%, ahead of CDU (25%) and surging Die Linke (13%), with SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Greens (4%), and FDP (3%) trailing far behind the 5% threshold for parliamentary entry in some scenarios. AfD's dominance reflects dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under new Minister-President Sven Schulze, elected January 28, amid stable eastern German trends favoring the party. No major shifts in the past 30 days, but an absolute AfD majority remains possible if smaller parties falter, projecting 36 seats for AfD out of 83.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$515,668End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in Saxony-Anhalt's Landtag election on September 6, driven by consistent double-digit polling leads in recent Sonntagsfragen. The latest INSA survey (March 17-24) shows AfD at 38%, ahead of CDU (25%) and surging Die Linke (13%), with SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Greens (4%), and FDP (3%) trailing far behind the 5% threshold for parliamentary entry in some scenarios. AfD's dominance reflects dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under new Minister-President Sven Schulze, elected January 28, amid stable eastern German trends favoring the party. No major shifts in the past 30 days, but an absolute AfD majority remains possible if smaller parties falter, projecting 36 seats for AfD out of 83.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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