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Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

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Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Brad Cohen 34%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%

Susan Altman 17%

Adam Hamawy 6%

Polymarket

$16,013 Vol.

Brad Cohen 34%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%

Susan Altman 17%

Adam Hamawy 6%

Polymarket

$16,013 Vol.

Brad Cohen

$0 Vol.

34%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$0 Vol.

31%

Susan Altman

$14,124 Vol.

22%

Adam Hamawy

$0 Vol.

6%

Adrian Mapp

$0 Vol.

5%

Matthew Adams

$0 Vol.

5%

Elijah Dixon

$0 Vol.

3%

Kyle Little

$0 Vol.

2%

Raymond Heck

$0 Vol.

2%

Michael Anderson

$1,889 Vol.

1%

Tennille R. McCoy

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, trader consensus gives Brad Cohen a slim 34% edge over Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 30.5%, with Assemblywoman Susan Altman at 22.5%, reflecting a tight three-way contest driven by recent RMG Research polling from late May showing Cohen at 26%, Reynolds-Jackson at 24%, and Altman at 19% among decided voters. Cohen's lead stems from superior fundraising—over $1 million raised—and strong local mayor backing in Roselle Park, while Reynolds-Jackson draws progressive support and Altman benefits from EMILY's List endorsement, fragmenting the field amid undecided voters exceeding 20%. The race remains fluid with the June 4 primary approaching, where late endorsements from Sens. Booker or Menendez, final polls, or turnout in diverse areas like Princeton and Trenton could tip the balance.

In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, trader consensus gives Brad Cohen a slim 34% edge over Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 30.5%, with Assemblywoman Susan Altman at 22.5%, reflecting a tight three-way contest driven by recent RMG Research polling from late May showing Cohen at 26%, Reynolds-Jackson at 24%, and Altman at 19% among decided voters. Cohen's lead stems from superior fundraising—over $1 million raised—and strong local mayor backing in Roselle Park, while Reynolds-Jackson draws progressive support and Altman benefits from EMILY's List endorsement, fragmenting the field amid undecided voters exceeding 20%. The race remains fluid with the June 4 primary approaching, where late endorsements from Sens. Booker or Menendez, final polls, or turnout in diverse areas like Princeton and Trenton could tip the balance.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, trader consensus gives Brad Cohen a slim 34% edge over Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 30.5%, with Assemblywoman Susan Altman at 22.5%, reflecting a tight three-way contest driven by recent RMG Research polling from late May showing Cohen at 26%, Reynolds-Jackson at 24%, and Altman at 19% among decided voters. Cohen's lead stems from superior fundraising—over $1 million raised—and strong local mayor backing in Roselle Park, while Reynolds-Jackson draws progressive support and Altman benefits from EMILY's List endorsement, fragmenting the field amid undecided voters exceeding 20%. The race remains fluid with the June 4 primary approaching, where late endorsements from Sens. Booker or Menendez, final polls, or turnout in diverse areas like Princeton and Trenton could tip the balance.

In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, trader consensus gives Brad Cohen a slim 34% edge over Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 30.5%, with Assemblywoman Susan Altman at 22.5%, reflecting a tight three-way contest driven by recent RMG Research polling from late May showing Cohen at 26%, Reynolds-Jackson at 24%, and Altman at 19% among decided voters. Cohen's lead stems from superior fundraising—over $1 million raised—and strong local mayor backing in Roselle Park, while Reynolds-Jackson draws progressive support and Altman benefits from EMILY's List endorsement, fragmenting the field amid undecided voters exceeding 20%. The race remains fluid with the June 4 primary approaching, where late endorsements from Sens. Booker or Menendez, final polls, or turnout in diverse areas like Princeton and Trenton could tip the balance.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brad Cohen" at 34%, followed by "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $16K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Brad Cohen" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.