Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding lead in the North Dakota at-large House race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, her incumbency, and a decisive primary victory where she secured roughly 73% against an intraparty challenger. Fundraising data shows her campaign raised over $1.7 million compared to Democratic-NPL nominee Trygve Hammer's roughly $190,000, underscoring resource advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Fedorchak's 2024 win by nearly 39 points in the same matchup. Recent developments include her withdrawal from one scheduled debate over format disputes, with participation confirmed in another later in October. Independent candidates on the ballot could marginally affect margins, though significant shifts would require unforeseen events such as major scandals or health developments affecting the incumbent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedND-AL House Election Winner
ND-AL House Election Winner
$59,934 Vol.
$59,934 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Julie Fedorchak (R)
96%
Trygve Hammer (D)
3%
$59,934 Vol.
$59,934 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Julie Fedorchak (R)
$43,126 Vol.
96%
Trygve Hammer (D)
$16,808 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding lead in the North Dakota at-large House race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, her incumbency, and a decisive primary victory where she secured roughly 73% against an intraparty challenger. Fundraising data shows her campaign raised over $1.7 million compared to Democratic-NPL nominee Trygve Hammer's roughly $190,000, underscoring resource advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Fedorchak's 2024 win by nearly 39 points in the same matchup. Recent developments include her withdrawal from one scheduled debate over format disputes, with participation confirmed in another later in October. Independent candidates on the ballot could marginally affect margins, though significant shifts would require unforeseen events such as major scandals or health developments affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$59,934End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding lead in the North Dakota at-large House race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, her incumbency, and a decisive primary victory where she secured roughly 73% against an intraparty challenger. Fundraising data shows her campaign raised over $1.7 million compared to Democratic-NPL nominee Trygve Hammer's roughly $190,000, underscoring resource advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Fedorchak's 2024 win by nearly 39 points in the same matchup. Recent developments include her withdrawal from one scheduled debate over format disputes, with participation confirmed in another later in October. Independent candidates on the ballot could marginally affect margins, though significant shifts would require unforeseen events such as major scandals or health developments affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$59,934End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding lead in the North Dakota at-large House race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, her incumbency, and a decisive primary victory where she secured roughly 73% against an intraparty challenger. Fundraising data shows her campaign raised over $1.7 million compared to Democratic-NPL nominee Trygve Hammer's roughly $190,000, underscoring resource advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Fedorchak's 2024 win by nearly 39 points in the same matchup. Recent developments include her withdrawal from one scheduled debate over format disputes, with participation confirmed in another later in October. Independent candidates on the ballot could marginally affect margins, though significant shifts would require unforeseen events such as major scandals or health developments affecting the incumbent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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