Incumbent Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding lead in the North Dakota at-large House race, reflecting her decisive June primary victory, substantial fundraising edge, and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns. She defeated an intraparty challenger with roughly 73 percent of the vote and faces a rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer, whom she defeated by a wide margin in 2024. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, supported by her legislative record, including recent passage of the High Capacity Grid Act, and endorsements from national Republican figures. Independent candidates appear on the November 3 ballot but have shown limited traction in prior cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for the seat and current indicators, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen events could still influence the final outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedND-AL House Election Winner
ND-AL House Election Winner
$59,934 Vol.
$59,934 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Julie Fedorchak (R)
96%
Trygve Hammer (D)
3%
$59,934 Vol.
$59,934 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Julie Fedorchak (R)
$43,126 Vol.
96%
Trygve Hammer (D)
$16,808 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding lead in the North Dakota at-large House race, reflecting her decisive June primary victory, substantial fundraising edge, and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns. She defeated an intraparty challenger with roughly 73 percent of the vote and faces a rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer, whom she defeated by a wide margin in 2024. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, supported by her legislative record, including recent passage of the High Capacity Grid Act, and endorsements from national Republican figures. Independent candidates appear on the November 3 ballot but have shown limited traction in prior cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for the seat and current indicators, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen events could still influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$59,934End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding lead in the North Dakota at-large House race, reflecting her decisive June primary victory, substantial fundraising edge, and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns. She defeated an intraparty challenger with roughly 73 percent of the vote and faces a rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer, whom she defeated by a wide margin in 2024. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, supported by her legislative record, including recent passage of the High Capacity Grid Act, and endorsements from national Republican figures. Independent candidates appear on the November 3 ballot but have shown limited traction in prior cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for the seat and current indicators, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen events could still influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$59,934End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding lead in the North Dakota at-large House race, reflecting her decisive June primary victory, substantial fundraising edge, and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns. She defeated an intraparty challenger with roughly 73 percent of the vote and faces a rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer, whom she defeated by a wide margin in 2024. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, supported by her legislative record, including recent passage of the High Capacity Grid Act, and endorsements from national Republican figures. Independent candidates appear on the November 3 ballot but have shown limited traction in prior cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for the seat and current indicators, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen events could still influence the final outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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