North Dakota's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district, reflected in trader consensus favoring incumbent Julie Fedorchak at 95%. Fedorchak secured her party's nomination with roughly 73% in the June 2026 primary against challenger Alex Balazs and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic-NPL nominee Trygve Hammer, whom she defeated 69-30% in the 2024 rematch. Multiple forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the state's partisan lean and historical voting patterns. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged since the primaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedND-AL House Election Winner
ND-AL House Election Winner
$59,855 Vol.
$59,855 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Julie Fedorchak (R)
95%
Trygve Hammer (D)
3%
$59,855 Vol.
$59,855 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Julie Fedorchak (R)
$43,062 Vol.
95%
Trygve Hammer (D)
$16,793 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district, reflected in trader consensus favoring incumbent Julie Fedorchak at 95%. Fedorchak secured her party's nomination with roughly 73% in the June 2026 primary against challenger Alex Balazs and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic-NPL nominee Trygve Hammer, whom she defeated 69-30% in the 2024 rematch. Multiple forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the state's partisan lean and historical voting patterns. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$59,855End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district, reflected in trader consensus favoring incumbent Julie Fedorchak at 95%. Fedorchak secured her party's nomination with roughly 73% in the June 2026 primary against challenger Alex Balazs and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic-NPL nominee Trygve Hammer, whom she defeated 69-30% in the 2024 rematch. Multiple forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the state's partisan lean and historical voting patterns. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$59,855End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district, reflected in trader consensus favoring incumbent Julie Fedorchak at 95%. Fedorchak secured her party's nomination with roughly 73% in the June 2026 primary against challenger Alex Balazs and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic-NPL nominee Trygve Hammer, whom she defeated 69-30% in the 2024 rematch. Multiple forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the state's partisan lean and historical voting patterns. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged since the primaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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