Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Mi Hazánk for third place in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election popular vote, reflecting consistent late-March polls showing the far-right party at 4-8%—well ahead of fragmented left-liberal rivals like DK (1-5%), Momentum (1-4%), and MKKP (2-4%). Tisza's surge to challenge Fidesz-KDNP for first has consolidated anti-Orbán center-right support, leaving Mi Hazánk to capture nationalist protest votes amid the ruling party's defensive campaign, including post-Peace March momentum. Recent surveys from Publicus (March 27-30) and 21 Research Centre affirm this positioning, with no close challengers. Upsets could arise from a Mi Hazánk scandal, sudden left consolidation, or undecided voters (20-26%) shifting en masse in the final week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Mi Hazánk 96%
DK 2.3%
MKKP 1.4%
Momentum <1%
$46,547 Vol.
$46,547 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Mi Hazánk
96%
DK
2%
MKKP
1%
Momentum
1%
Fidesz-KDNP
<1%
MSZP
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
LMP
<1%
TISZA
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
Mi Hazánk 96%
DK 2.3%
MKKP 1.4%
Momentum <1%
$46,547 Vol.
$46,547 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Mi Hazánk
$32,820 Vol.
96%
DK
$1,050 Vol.
2%
MKKP
$842 Vol.
1%
Momentum
$2,256 Vol.
1%
Fidesz-KDNP
$1,421 Vol.
<1%
MSZP
$970 Vol.
<1%
Párbeszéd
$839 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$4,525 Vol.
<1%
TISZA
$854 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$970 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Mi Hazánk for third place in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election popular vote, reflecting consistent late-March polls showing the far-right party at 4-8%—well ahead of fragmented left-liberal rivals like DK (1-5%), Momentum (1-4%), and MKKP (2-4%). Tisza's surge to challenge Fidesz-KDNP for first has consolidated anti-Orbán center-right support, leaving Mi Hazánk to capture nationalist protest votes amid the ruling party's defensive campaign, including post-Peace March momentum. Recent surveys from Publicus (March 27-30) and 21 Research Centre affirm this positioning, with no close challengers. Upsets could arise from a Mi Hazánk scandal, sudden left consolidation, or undecided voters (20-26%) shifting en masse in the final week.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Volume
$46,547End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Mi Hazánk for third place in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election popular vote, reflecting consistent late-March polls showing the far-right party at 4-8%—well ahead of fragmented left-liberal rivals like DK (1-5%), Momentum (1-4%), and MKKP (2-4%). Tisza's surge to challenge Fidesz-KDNP for first has consolidated anti-Orbán center-right support, leaving Mi Hazánk to capture nationalist protest votes amid the ruling party's defensive campaign, including post-Peace March momentum. Recent surveys from Publicus (March 27-30) and 21 Research Centre affirm this positioning, with no close challengers. Upsets could arise from a Mi Hazánk scandal, sudden left consolidation, or undecided voters (20-26%) shifting en masse in the final week.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Volume
$46,547End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Mi Hazánk for third place in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election popular vote, reflecting consistent late-March polls showing the far-right party at 4-8%—well ahead of fragmented left-liberal rivals like DK (1-5%), Momentum (1-4%), and MKKP (2-4%). Tisza's surge to challenge Fidesz-KDNP for first has consolidated anti-Orbán center-right support, leaving Mi Hazánk to capture nationalist protest votes amid the ruling party's defensive campaign, including post-Peace March momentum. Recent surveys from Publicus (March 27-30) and 21 Research Centre affirm this positioning, with no close challengers. Upsets could arise from a Mi Hazánk scandal, sudden left consolidation, or undecided voters (20-26%) shifting en masse in the final week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRelated
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
70%
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
70%
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
73%
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