Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, reflecting consistent recent polls showing the party at 20-22%—firmly behind frontrunner Progressive Bulgaria (PB), former President Rumen Radev's new alliance launched in early March and polling around 30%, but ahead of PP-DB at 11-13%. Alpha Research's March 19-26 survey and Market Links' March 21 poll exemplify this stable hierarchy among decided voters, with DPS and Vazrazhdane trailing further, amid voter fatigue from eight elections in five years and planned turnout below 51%. Under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for 240 seats, GERB-SDS's position appears locked barring a late PP-DB surge, polling miss, or scandal shifting nationalist or reformist blocs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
GERB-SDS 94%
PP–DB 3.0%
PB 2.8%
BSP <1%
$19,485 Vol.
$19,485 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
GERB-SDS
94%
PP–DB
3%
PB
3%
BSP
1%
ITN
<1%
DPS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
APS
<1%
MECh
<1%
Vazrazhdane
<1%
GERB-SDS 94%
PP–DB 3.0%
PB 2.8%
BSP <1%
$19,485 Vol.
$19,485 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
GERB-SDS
$9,984 Vol.
94%
PP–DB
$1,295 Vol.
3%
PB
$872 Vol.
3%
BSP
$933 Vol.
1%
ITN
$1,153 Vol.
<1%
DPS
$758 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$1,413 Vol.
<1%
APS
$1,308 Vol.
<1%
MECh
$1,042 Vol.
<1%
Vazrazhdane
$729 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, reflecting consistent recent polls showing the party at 20-22%—firmly behind frontrunner Progressive Bulgaria (PB), former President Rumen Radev's new alliance launched in early March and polling around 30%, but ahead of PP-DB at 11-13%. Alpha Research's March 19-26 survey and Market Links' March 21 poll exemplify this stable hierarchy among decided voters, with DPS and Vazrazhdane trailing further, amid voter fatigue from eight elections in five years and planned turnout below 51%. Under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for 240 seats, GERB-SDS's position appears locked barring a late PP-DB surge, polling miss, or scandal shifting nationalist or reformist blocs.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volume
$19,485End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, reflecting consistent recent polls showing the party at 20-22%—firmly behind frontrunner Progressive Bulgaria (PB), former President Rumen Radev's new alliance launched in early March and polling around 30%, but ahead of PP-DB at 11-13%. Alpha Research's March 19-26 survey and Market Links' March 21 poll exemplify this stable hierarchy among decided voters, with DPS and Vazrazhdane trailing further, amid voter fatigue from eight elections in five years and planned turnout below 51%. Under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for 240 seats, GERB-SDS's position appears locked barring a late PP-DB surge, polling miss, or scandal shifting nationalist or reformist blocs.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$19,485End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, reflecting consistent recent polls showing the party at 20-22%—firmly behind frontrunner Progressive Bulgaria (PB), former President Rumen Radev's new alliance launched in early March and polling around 30%, but ahead of PP-DB at 11-13%. Alpha Research's March 19-26 survey and Market Links' March 21 poll exemplify this stable hierarchy among decided voters, with DPS and Vazrazhdane trailing further, amid voter fatigue from eight elections in five years and planned turnout below 51%. Under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for 240 seats, GERB-SDS's position appears locked barring a late PP-DB surge, polling miss, or scandal shifting nationalist or reformist blocs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRelated
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
81%
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
95%
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
50%
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