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World·Armenia

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Market icon
World·Armenia

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Civil Contract 84%

Armenia Alliance 13%

Bright Armenia 3.2%

I Have Honor Alliance 1.7%

Polymarket
NEW

Civil Contract 84%

Armenia Alliance 13%

Bright Armenia 3.2%

I Have Honor Alliance 1.7%

Polymarket
NEW
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Civil Contract

$0 Vol.

84%

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Armenia Alliance

$4,170 Vol.

13%

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Bright Armenia

$0 Vol.

3%

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I Have Honor Alliance

$0 Vol.

2%

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Armenian National Congress

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Prosperous Armenia

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Hanrapetutyun Party

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Orinats Yerkir

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Heritage

$0 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Trader consensus assigns an 84% implied probability to Civil Contract securing victory in Armenia's June 7 parliamentary elections under proportional representation for National Assembly seats, reflecting the ruling party's consistent polling lead despite 30% undecided voters per a March 6 survey. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan topping the party's February candidate list reinforces incumbency advantages, while opposition blocs like Armenia Alliance (12.5%) remain fragmented amid program finalization efforts. Key recent drivers include President Vahagn Khachaturyan's February decree confirming the date—the first regular polls since 2017—and Pashinyan's recent assertion of victory. Upcoming candidate declarations by May and an EU-Armenia summit in early May could influence dynamics, alongside concerns over rule-of-law in an open letter to EU officials.

Trader consensus assigns an 84% implied probability to Civil Contract securing victory in Armenia's June 7 parliamentary elections under proportional representation for National Assembly seats, reflecting the ruling party's consistent polling lead despite 30% undecided voters per a March 6 survey. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan topping the party's February candidate list reinforces incumbency advantages, while opposition blocs like Armenia Alliance (12.5%) remain fragmented amid program finalization efforts. Key recent drivers include President Vahagn Khachaturyan's February decree confirming the date—the first regular polls since 2017—and Pashinyan's recent assertion of victory. Upcoming candidate declarations by May and an EU-Armenia summit in early May could influence dynamics, alongside concerns over rule-of-law in an open letter to EU officials.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Trader consensus assigns an 84% implied probability to Civil Contract securing victory in Armenia's June 7 parliamentary elections under proportional representation for National Assembly seats, reflecting the ruling party's consistent polling lead despite 30% undecided voters per a March 6 survey. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan topping the party's February candidate list reinforces incumbency advantages, while opposition blocs like Armenia Alliance (12.5%) remain fragmented amid program finalization efforts. Key recent drivers include President Vahagn Khachaturyan's February decree confirming the date—the first regular polls since 2017—and Pashinyan's recent assertion of victory. Upcoming candidate declarations by May and an EU-Armenia summit in early May could influence dynamics, alongside concerns over rule-of-law in an open letter to EU officials.

Trader consensus assigns an 84% implied probability to Civil Contract securing victory in Armenia's June 7 parliamentary elections under proportional representation for National Assembly seats, reflecting the ruling party's consistent polling lead despite 30% undecided voters per a March 6 survey. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan topping the party's February candidate list reinforces incumbency advantages, while opposition blocs like Armenia Alliance (12.5%) remain fragmented amid program finalization efforts. Key recent drivers include President Vahagn Khachaturyan's February decree confirming the date—the first regular polls since 2017—and Pashinyan's recent assertion of victory. Upcoming candidate declarations by May and an EU-Armenia summit in early May could influence dynamics, alongside concerns over rule-of-law in an open letter to EU officials.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Civil Contract" at 84%, followed by "Armenia Alliance" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 16, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" is "Civil Contract" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Armenia Alliance" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.