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Politics·South Korea

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Market icon
Politics·South Korea

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Chong Won-oh 81%

Oh Se-hoon 13%

Park Ju-min 6.3%

Jeon Hyun-heui <1%

Polymarket

$8,040,640 Vol.

Chong Won-oh 81%

Oh Se-hoon 13%

Park Ju-min 6.3%

Jeon Hyun-heui <1%

Polymarket

$8,040,640 Vol.

Market icon

Chong Won-oh

$287,154 Vol.

81%

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Oh Se-hoon

$551,040 Vol.

13%

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Park Ju-min

$367,594 Vol.

6%

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Jeon Hyun-heui

$698,798 Vol.

<1%

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Na Kyung-won

$753,163 Vol.

<1%

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Han Dong-hoon

$646,828 Vol.

<1%

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Cho Eun-hee

$837,400 Vol.

<1%

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Ahn Cheol-soo

$550,070 Vol.

<1%

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Park Yong-jin

$849,529 Vol.

<1%

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Hong Ihk-pyo

$680,120 Vol.

<1%

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Cho Kuk

$395,542 Vol.

<1%

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Kang Hoon-sik

$333,073 Vol.

<1%

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Park Hong-keun

$512,716 Vol.

<1%

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Seo Young-kyo

$578,206 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Seongdong District Mayor Chong Won-oh commands overwhelming trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability as the Democratic Party of Korea's frontrunner for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral race, propelled by recent polls showing him trouncing incumbent Oh Se-hoon by 20+ points in head-to-head matchups, including a March 5 survey at 55.8% to 32.4%. The party's primary narrowed to five candidates on March 2, with Chong advancing strongly amid his rising support from 34% in February polls. Oh Se-hoon trails at 12.5% amid People Power Party infighting, a reported nomination withdrawal on March 8, and legal hurdles, while his party's three-way primary featuring Park Ju-min—who sits at 6.2%—intensifies competition. Primaries conclude soon, with Seoul's progressive-leaning electorate favoring DPK incumbency challenges.

Seongdong District Mayor Chong Won-oh commands overwhelming trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability as the Democratic Party of Korea's frontrunner for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral race, propelled by recent polls showing him trouncing incumbent Oh Se-hoon by 20+ points in head-to-head matchups, including a March 5 survey at 55.8% to 32.4%. The party's primary narrowed to five candidates on March 2, with Chong advancing strongly amid his rising support from 34% in February polls. Oh Se-hoon trails at 12.5% amid People Power Party infighting, a reported nomination withdrawal on March 8, and legal hurdles, while his party's three-way primary featuring Park Ju-min—who sits at 6.2%—intensifies competition. Primaries conclude soon, with Seoul's progressive-leaning electorate favoring DPK incumbency challenges.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Seongdong District Mayor Chong Won-oh commands overwhelming trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability as the Democratic Party of Korea's frontrunner for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral race, propelled by recent polls showing him trouncing incumbent Oh Se-hoon by 20+ points in head-to-head matchups, including a March 5 survey at 55.8% to 32.4%. The party's primary narrowed to five candidates on March 2, with Chong advancing strongly amid his rising support from 34% in February polls. Oh Se-hoon trails at 12.5% amid People Power Party infighting, a reported nomination withdrawal on March 8, and legal hurdles, while his party's three-way primary featuring Park Ju-min—who sits at 6.2%—intensifies competition. Primaries conclude soon, with Seoul's progressive-leaning electorate favoring DPK incumbency challenges.

Seongdong District Mayor Chong Won-oh commands overwhelming trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability as the Democratic Party of Korea's frontrunner for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral race, propelled by recent polls showing him trouncing incumbent Oh Se-hoon by 20+ points in head-to-head matchups, including a March 5 survey at 55.8% to 32.4%. The party's primary narrowed to five candidates on March 2, with Chong advancing strongly amid his rising support from 34% in February polls. Oh Se-hoon trails at 12.5% amid People Power Party infighting, a reported nomination withdrawal on March 8, and legal hurdles, while his party's three-way primary featuring Park Ju-min—who sits at 6.2%—intensifies competition. Primaries conclude soon, with Seoul's progressive-leaning electorate favoring DPK incumbency challenges.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chong Won-oh" at 81%, followed by "Oh Se-hoon" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner" is "Chong Won-oh" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Oh Se-hoon" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.