Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party lawmaker Choo Mi-ae at 76% implied probability to win the June 3 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, driven by her frontrunner status in the party's imminent main primary starting April 5, where six-term lawmakers receive a 10% bonus and outcomes blend 50% party member votes with 50% public opinion polls—potentially leading to a runoff April 15-17. Her national profile as former justice minister and recent resignation from the National Assembly's Legislation and Judiciary Committee to focus on the race bolster her among party insiders, despite a March 27-29 STI favorability poll showing incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon ahead overall (28.9% vs. 14.9%) and among DP supporters (33.6% vs. 27.9%). Kim holds second at 19% on his narrow 2022 reelection margin and administrative record supporting President Lee Jae-myung's policies, while People Power Party contenders like Yoo Seung-min trail low amid opposition candidate shortages in this DP stronghold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner
2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner
Choo Mi-ae 76.3%
Kim Dong-yeon 19%
Han Jun-ho 2.6%
Yoo Seong-min 1.5%
$2,837,263 Vol.
$2,837,263 Vol.
Choo Mi-ae
76%
Kim Dong-yeon
19%
Han Jun-ho
3%
Yoo Seong-min
2%
Kim Moon-soo
<1%
Lee Jun-seok
<1%
Yeom Tae-yeong
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Won Hee-ryong
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Kim Byeong-ju
<1%
Lee Un-ju
<1%
Kim Eun-hye
<1%
Choo Mi-ae 76.3%
Kim Dong-yeon 19%
Han Jun-ho 2.6%
Yoo Seong-min 1.5%
$2,837,263 Vol.
$2,837,263 Vol.
Choo Mi-ae
76%
Kim Dong-yeon
19%
Han Jun-ho
3%
Yoo Seong-min
2%
Kim Moon-soo
<1%
Lee Jun-seok
<1%
Yeom Tae-yeong
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Won Hee-ryong
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Kim Byeong-ju
<1%
Lee Un-ju
<1%
Kim Eun-hye
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Market Opened: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party lawmaker Choo Mi-ae at 76% implied probability to win the June 3 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, driven by her frontrunner status in the party's imminent main primary starting April 5, where six-term lawmakers receive a 10% bonus and outcomes blend 50% party member votes with 50% public opinion polls—potentially leading to a runoff April 15-17. Her national profile as former justice minister and recent resignation from the National Assembly's Legislation and Judiciary Committee to focus on the race bolster her among party insiders, despite a March 27-29 STI favorability poll showing incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon ahead overall (28.9% vs. 14.9%) and among DP supporters (33.6% vs. 27.9%). Kim holds second at 19% on his narrow 2022 reelection margin and administrative record supporting President Lee Jae-myung's policies, while People Power Party contenders like Yoo Seung-min trail low amid opposition candidate shortages in this DP stronghold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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