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U.S. Congress predictions & odds

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Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

57%

$1.4K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?

4%

$2.5K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by...?

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by...?

48%

June 30

$18.0K Vol.

$10 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

8%

Ex-Prince Andrew

$61.1K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

11

Ends in about 1 month

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

9%

$17.5K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

92%

Civil Contract

$191K Vol.

$290K Liq.

10

Ends in 21 days

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

83%

Iran 5+ times

$5.7K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

98%

North Carolina

$262K Vol.

$208K Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

5%

$45.9K Vol.

$26.5K Liq.

21

Ends in 6 months

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

94%

Scott Wiener

$358K Vol.

$47.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 16 days

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

78%

Ben McAdams

$29.9K Vol.

$54.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

<1%

110+

$380K Vol.

$95.3K Liq.

WA-03 Primary Winners

WA-03 Primary Winners

94%

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

$34.5K Vol.

$62.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

100%

FP

$158K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

4

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

5%

$157K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

57%

Canceled

$51.5K Vol.

$67.8K Liq.

12

Ends in 5 months

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

15%

Democrats 8-10%

$34.7K Vol.

$133K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

2%

June 30

$64.2K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

60%

Luke Bronin

$9.3K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

65%

Ryan Busse

$3.1K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 16 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 140 active markets for U.S. Congress that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to 70–79. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on U.S. Congress predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.