Incumbent Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, in Washington's 3rd congressional district, where the top two vote-getters advance to the November general election. State Senate Minority Leader John Braun has emerged as the leading Republican contender following the May 2026 candidate filing period, with fewer disruptive challengers than in prior cycles. Other Democratic and Republican filers, including Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell on the Democratic side, remain lower-profile. Trader consensus reflects the district's narrow partisan lean and historical primary patterns favoring established names, with limited new polling or campaign finance shifts reported in recent weeks that would alter advancement probabilities ahead of the primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,553 Vol.
2026/08/04
ジョン・ブラウン
97%
マリー・グルーゼンカンプ・ペレス
89%
アントニー・バラン
16%
ブレント・ヘンリッチ
7%
ローレンス・ケロッグ
5%
エリック・ヴォーン
4%
スザンナ・V・タナー
3%
$45,553 Vol.
ジョン・ブラウン
$6,240 Vol.
97%
マリー・グルーゼンカンプ・ペレス
$9,471 Vol.
89%
アントニー・バラン
$187 Vol.
16%
ブレント・ヘンリッチ
$18,997 Vol.
7%
ローレンス・ケロッグ
$5,313 Vol.
5%
エリック・ヴォーン
$4,203 Vol.
4%
スザンナ・V・タナー
$1,142 Vol.
3%
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Incumbent Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, in Washington's 3rd congressional district, where the top two vote-getters advance to the November general election. State Senate Minority Leader John Braun has emerged as the leading Republican contender following the May 2026 candidate filing period, with fewer disruptive challengers than in prior cycles. Other Democratic and Republican filers, including Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell on the Democratic side, remain lower-profile. Trader consensus reflects the district's narrow partisan lean and historical primary patterns favoring established names, with limited new polling or campaign finance shifts reported in recent weeks that would alter advancement probabilities ahead of the primary.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
マーケット開始日： Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
音量
$45,553終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Incumbent Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, in Washington's 3rd congressional district, where the top two vote-getters advance to the November general election. State Senate Minority Leader John Braun has emerged as the leading Republican contender following the May 2026 candidate filing period, with fewer disruptive challengers than in prior cycles. Other Democratic and Republican filers, including Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell on the Democratic side, remain lower-profile. Trader consensus reflects the district's narrow partisan lean and historical primary patterns favoring established names, with limited new polling or campaign finance shifts reported in recent weeks that would alter advancement probabilities ahead of the primary.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$45,553終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, in Washington's 3rd congressional district, where the top two vote-getters advance to the November general election. State Senate Minority Leader John Braun has emerged as the leading Republican contender following the May 2026 candidate filing period, with fewer disruptive challengers than in prior cycles. Other Democratic and Republican filers, including Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell on the Democratic side, remain lower-profile. Trader consensus reflects the district's narrow partisan lean and historical primary patterns favoring established names, with limited new polling or campaign finance shifts reported in recent weeks that would alter advancement probabilities ahead of the primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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