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Economic Forecasting predictions & odds

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US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

33%

June 30

$240K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

17

Ends in about 1 month

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

32%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$3.4K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

19%

2.0–2.5%

$28.3K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

30%

1.5–2.0%

$3.4K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

6%

$26.5K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

23%

$1M Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

66

Ends in 9 months

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

39%

$3.7K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

26%

$1.8K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 11 months

2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

18%

≤2.9%

$17.4K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Canada recession before 2027?

Canada recession before 2027?

16%

$67.1K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

34%

4-5%

$2.1K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

17%

$20.0K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

69%

4.0–5.0%

$543K Vol.

$146K Liq.

7

Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026

Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026

47%

0.0-0.3%

$20 Vol.

$905 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

84%

Up

$25.3K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

28%

5.0%

$389K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

6%

June 30, 2026

$761K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

15

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

87%

$170 billion

$689 Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

Ends in 12 months

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

70%

↓ $730

$486K Vol.

$196K Liq.

3

Ends in 15 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Economic Forecasting.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Economic Forecasting that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Cuba economic deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Canada recession before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “UK election called by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US recession by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 78% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Economic Forecasting predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.