Recent April 2026 CPI data, which rose to 3.8% year-over-year amid an oil price shock tied to geopolitical tensions, has anchored trader expectations for May at elevated levels near 4.2%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently project May headline inflation around 4.2%, reflecting persistent energy cost pressures and shelter components that have not yet fully eased. With the June 10 release just days away, market-implied odds cluster tightly between 4.2% and 4.3%, underscoring uncertainty over the monthly pace of energy and core goods inflation. Traders are weighing the potential for further upside from tariff pass-through and labor market tightness against any moderation in gasoline prices. This setup highlights how incoming data on commodity costs and shelter could shift the final print relative to April’s 0.6% monthly gain.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4.2% 45%
4.3% 40%
≥4.4% 12%
4.1% 5.7%
$350,694 वॉल्यूम
$350,694 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
6%
4.2%
45%
4.3%
40%
≥4.4%
12%
4.2% 45%
4.3% 40%
≥4.4% 12%
4.1% 5.7%
$350,694 वॉल्यूम
$350,694 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
≤3.3%
$19,516 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.4%
$17,416 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.5%
$24,784 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.6%
$22,199 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.7%
$22,790 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.8%
$22,762 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.9%
$29,209 वॉल्यूम
<1%
4.0%
$24,318 वॉल्यूम
1%
4.1%
$28,449 वॉल्यूम
6%
4.2%
$44,292 वॉल्यूम
45%
4.3%
$56,683 वॉल्यूम
40%
≥4.4%
$38,276 वॉल्यूम
12%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 CPI data, which rose to 3.8% year-over-year amid an oil price shock tied to geopolitical tensions, has anchored trader expectations for May at elevated levels near 4.2%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently project May headline inflation around 4.2%, reflecting persistent energy cost pressures and shelter components that have not yet fully eased. With the June 10 release just days away, market-implied odds cluster tightly between 4.2% and 4.3%, underscoring uncertainty over the monthly pace of energy and core goods inflation. Traders are weighing the potential for further upside from tariff pass-through and labor market tightness against any moderation in gasoline prices. This setup highlights how incoming data on commodity costs and shelter could shift the final print relative to April’s 0.6% monthly gain.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$350,694समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 CPI data, which rose to 3.8% year-over-year amid an oil price shock tied to geopolitical tensions, has anchored trader expectations for May at elevated levels near 4.2%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently project May headline inflation around 4.2%, reflecting persistent energy cost pressures and shelter components that have not yet fully eased. With the June 10 release just days away, market-implied odds cluster tightly between 4.2% and 4.3%, underscoring uncertainty over the monthly pace of energy and core goods inflation. Traders are weighing the potential for further upside from tariff pass-through and labor market tightness against any moderation in gasoline prices. This setup highlights how incoming data on commodity costs and shelter could shift the final print relative to April’s 0.6% monthly gain.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
वॉल्यूम
$350,694समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 CPI data, which rose to 3.8% year-over-year amid an oil price shock tied to geopolitical tensions, has anchored trader expectations for May at elevated levels near 4.2%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently project May headline inflation around 4.2%, reflecting persistent energy cost pressures and shelter components that have not yet fully eased. With the June 10 release just days away, market-implied odds cluster tightly between 4.2% and 4.3%, underscoring uncertainty over the monthly pace of energy and core goods inflation. Traders are weighing the potential for further upside from tariff pass-through and labor market tightness against any moderation in gasoline prices. This setup highlights how incoming data on commodity costs and shelter could shift the final print relative to April’s 0.6% monthly gain.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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