Market-implied probabilities for the May U.S. annual inflation rate reflect a tight contest, with 4.2% at 43.5% and 4.3% at 41.5%. This narrow distribution signals balanced trader sentiment amid uncertainty over the precise print, driven by recent labor market softening and the path of core price measures. Differentiating factors include potential revisions to prior data, energy price swings, and how shelter costs evolve, all of which can shift the final figure by a few basis points. Upcoming releases on employment and producer prices before the CPI publication remain key catalysts that could tilt consensus in either direction.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMay Inflation US - Annual
May Inflation US - Annual
4.2% 44%
4.3% 42%
≥4.4% 11%
4.1% 6.0%
$346,898 ปริมาณ
$346,898 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
6%
4.2%
44%
4.3%
42%
≥4.4%
11%
4.2% 44%
4.3% 42%
≥4.4% 11%
4.1% 6.0%
$346,898 ปริมาณ
$346,898 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
$19,516 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.4%
$17,416 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.5%
$24,784 ปริมาณ
1%
3.6%
$21,699 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.7%
$21,790 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.8%
$22,753 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.9%
$29,200 ปริมาณ
<1%
4.0%
$23,717 ปริมาณ
1%
4.1%
$27,988 ปริมาณ
6%
4.2%
$44,292 ปริมาณ
44%
4.3%
$55,770 ปริมาณ
42%
≥4.4%
$37,972 ปริมาณ
11%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Market-implied probabilities for the May U.S. annual inflation rate reflect a tight contest, with 4.2% at 43.5% and 4.3% at 41.5%. This narrow distribution signals balanced trader sentiment amid uncertainty over the precise print, driven by recent labor market softening and the path of core price measures. Differentiating factors include potential revisions to prior data, energy price swings, and how shelter costs evolve, all of which can shift the final figure by a few basis points. Upcoming releases on employment and producer prices before the CPI publication remain key catalysts that could tilt consensus in either direction.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$346,898วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Market-implied probabilities for the May U.S. annual inflation rate reflect a tight contest, with 4.2% at 43.5% and 4.3% at 41.5%. This narrow distribution signals balanced trader sentiment amid uncertainty over the precise print, driven by recent labor market softening and the path of core price measures. Differentiating factors include potential revisions to prior data, energy price swings, and how shelter costs evolve, all of which can shift the final figure by a few basis points. Upcoming releases on employment and producer prices before the CPI publication remain key catalysts that could tilt consensus in either direction.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$346,898วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied probabilities for the May U.S. annual inflation rate reflect a tight contest, with 4.2% at 43.5% and 4.3% at 41.5%. This narrow distribution signals balanced trader sentiment amid uncertainty over the precise print, driven by recent labor market softening and the path of core price measures. Differentiating factors include potential revisions to prior data, energy price swings, and how shelter costs evolve, all of which can shift the final figure by a few basis points. Upcoming releases on employment and producer prices before the CPI publication remain key catalysts that could tilt consensus in either direction.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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