Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, continue to constrain beef production, with 2026 output forecast at approximately 25.5–25.8 billion pounds after prior-year declines. This supply contraction, driven by herd liquidation and a record-low 2025 calf crop, supports elevated ground beef prices, which averaged near $6.70 per pound in early 2026 amid strong consumer demand for protein. Rising lean-beef imports help offset domestic shortfalls for grinding, while robust retail values near $9 per pound reflect limited availability and favorable macroeconomic conditions. Potential demand moderation from affordability pressures or fuel-cost increases could influence later-year pricing, with herd expansion unlikely to ease supplies materially before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$19,725 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
75%
$8.000+
56%
$9.000+
45%
$10.000+
17%
$19,725 Wol.
$7.000+
$50 Wol.
75%
$8.000+
$1,573 Wol.
56%
$9.000+
$62 Wol.
45%
$10.000+
$18,041 Wol.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, continue to constrain beef production, with 2026 output forecast at approximately 25.5–25.8 billion pounds after prior-year declines. This supply contraction, driven by herd liquidation and a record-low 2025 calf crop, supports elevated ground beef prices, which averaged near $6.70 per pound in early 2026 amid strong consumer demand for protein. Rising lean-beef imports help offset domestic shortfalls for grinding, while robust retail values near $9 per pound reflect limited availability and favorable macroeconomic conditions. Potential demand moderation from affordability pressures or fuel-cost increases could influence later-year pricing, with herd expansion unlikely to ease supplies materially before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,725Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, continue to constrain beef production, with 2026 output forecast at approximately 25.5–25.8 billion pounds after prior-year declines. This supply contraction, driven by herd liquidation and a record-low 2025 calf crop, supports elevated ground beef prices, which averaged near $6.70 per pound in early 2026 amid strong consumer demand for protein. Rising lean-beef imports help offset domestic shortfalls for grinding, while robust retail values near $9 per pound reflect limited availability and favorable macroeconomic conditions. Potential demand moderation from affordability pressures or fuel-cost increases could influence later-year pricing, with herd expansion unlikely to ease supplies materially before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$19,725Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, continue to constrain beef production, with 2026 output forecast at approximately 25.5–25.8 billion pounds after prior-year declines. This supply contraction, driven by herd liquidation and a record-low 2025 calf crop, supports elevated ground beef prices, which averaged near $6.70 per pound in early 2026 amid strong consumer demand for protein. Rising lean-beef imports help offset domestic shortfalls for grinding, while robust retail values near $9 per pound reflect limited availability and favorable macroeconomic conditions. Potential demand moderation from affordability pressures or fuel-cost increases could influence later-year pricing, with herd expansion unlikely to ease supplies materially before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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