Market-implied odds heavily favor a 0.5% month-over-month CPI print for May 2026 at 51%, reflecting the Cleveland Fed’s June 3 nowcast of 0.46% headline and 0.23% core inflation. This positioning follows April’s 0.6% MoM rise—the largest since mid-2022—which lifted the annual rate to 3.8% amid sharp energy price gains tied to geopolitical supply pressures. Traders appear to price in a partial moderation as those effects ease, with 0.4% at 20.5% capturing the risk of further cooling. The May report, due June 10, will resolve the contract and update Fed rate expectations amid persistent core pressures and elevated one-year inflation expectations near 3.6%.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMay Inflation US - Monthly
May Inflation US - Monthly
0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 15%
0.3% 3.9%
$50,844 Wol.
$50,844 Wol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
1%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
15%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
2%
≥0.9%
1%
0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 15%
0.3% 3.9%
$50,844 Wol.
$50,844 Wol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤0.1%
$1,498 Wol.
1%
0.2%
$2,665 Wol.
1%
0.3%
$3,554 Wol.
4%
0.4%
$5,186 Wol.
21%
0.5%
$9,805 Wol.
51%
0.6%
$14,064 Wol.
15%
0.7%
$7,818 Wol.
2%
0.8%
$3,189 Wol.
2%
≥0.9%
$3,070 Wol.
1%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Market-implied odds heavily favor a 0.5% month-over-month CPI print for May 2026 at 51%, reflecting the Cleveland Fed’s June 3 nowcast of 0.46% headline and 0.23% core inflation. This positioning follows April’s 0.6% MoM rise—the largest since mid-2022—which lifted the annual rate to 3.8% amid sharp energy price gains tied to geopolitical supply pressures. Traders appear to price in a partial moderation as those effects ease, with 0.4% at 20.5% capturing the risk of further cooling. The May report, due June 10, will resolve the contract and update Fed rate expectations amid persistent core pressures and elevated one-year inflation expectations near 3.6%.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$50,844Data zakończenia
Jun 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Market-implied odds heavily favor a 0.5% month-over-month CPI print for May 2026 at 51%, reflecting the Cleveland Fed’s June 3 nowcast of 0.46% headline and 0.23% core inflation. This positioning follows April’s 0.6% MoM rise—the largest since mid-2022—which lifted the annual rate to 3.8% amid sharp energy price gains tied to geopolitical supply pressures. Traders appear to price in a partial moderation as those effects ease, with 0.4% at 20.5% capturing the risk of further cooling. The May report, due June 10, will resolve the contract and update Fed rate expectations amid persistent core pressures and elevated one-year inflation expectations near 3.6%.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$50,844Data zakończenia
Jun 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds heavily favor a 0.5% month-over-month CPI print for May 2026 at 51%, reflecting the Cleveland Fed’s June 3 nowcast of 0.46% headline and 0.23% core inflation. This positioning follows April’s 0.6% MoM rise—the largest since mid-2022—which lifted the annual rate to 3.8% amid sharp energy price gains tied to geopolitical supply pressures. Traders appear to price in a partial moderation as those effects ease, with 0.4% at 20.5% capturing the risk of further cooling. The May report, due June 10, will resolve the contract and update Fed rate expectations amid persistent core pressures and elevated one-year inflation expectations near 3.6%.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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