**Trader consensus on the May 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month change centers on a 0.5% print, reflecting the Cleveland Fed’s latest nowcast of 0.46% and moderation following April’s 0.6% reading.** The April acceleration to a 3.8% year-over-year pace—the highest since May 2023—was driven largely by energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, with gasoline and fuel oil contributing the bulk of the monthly gain. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 0.4–0.6%, consistent with base effects and partial reversal of the prior energy spike. The June 10 release remains the immediate catalyst, while broader tariff pass-through and shelter components continue to influence the trajectory of headline inflation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMay Inflation US - Monthly
May Inflation US - Monthly
0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 21%
0.3% 4.3%
$49,973 ปริมาณ
$49,973 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
21%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
1%
0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 21%
0.3% 4.3%
$49,973 ปริมาณ
$49,973 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
≤0.1%
$1,495 ปริมาณ
1%
0.2%
$2,170 ปริมาณ
<1%
0.3%
$3,554 ปริมาณ
4%
0.4%
$5,177 ปริมาณ
21%
0.5%
$9,687 ปริมาณ
51%
0.6%
$13,839 ปริมาณ
21%
0.7%
$7,792 ปริมาณ
2%
0.8%
$3,189 ปริมาณ
3%
≥0.9%
$3,070 ปริมาณ
1%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader consensus on the May 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month change centers on a 0.5% print, reflecting the Cleveland Fed’s latest nowcast of 0.46% and moderation following April’s 0.6% reading.** The April acceleration to a 3.8% year-over-year pace—the highest since May 2023—was driven largely by energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, with gasoline and fuel oil contributing the bulk of the monthly gain. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 0.4–0.6%, consistent with base effects and partial reversal of the prior energy spike. The June 10 release remains the immediate catalyst, while broader tariff pass-through and shelter components continue to influence the trajectory of headline inflation.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,973วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader consensus on the May 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month change centers on a 0.5% print, reflecting the Cleveland Fed’s latest nowcast of 0.46% and moderation following April’s 0.6% reading.** The April acceleration to a 3.8% year-over-year pace—the highest since May 2023—was driven largely by energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, with gasoline and fuel oil contributing the bulk of the monthly gain. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 0.4–0.6%, consistent with base effects and partial reversal of the prior energy spike. The June 10 release remains the immediate catalyst, while broader tariff pass-through and shelter components continue to influence the trajectory of headline inflation.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,973วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the May 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month change centers on a 0.5% print, reflecting the Cleveland Fed’s latest nowcast of 0.46% and moderation following April’s 0.6% reading.** The April acceleration to a 3.8% year-over-year pace—the highest since May 2023—was driven largely by energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, with gasoline and fuel oil contributing the bulk of the monthly gain. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 0.4–0.6%, consistent with base effects and partial reversal of the prior energy spike. The June 10 release remains the immediate catalyst, while broader tariff pass-through and shelter components continue to influence the trajectory of headline inflation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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