Recent BLS data show the U.S. average retail price for a dozen Grade A large eggs at $2.141 in June 2026 and $2.191 in May, continuing a decline from the 2025 avian influenza-driven peak above $6. Wholesale prices have also stabilized near $0.90 per dozen amid improved flock sizes and lower feed costs. These fundamentals underpin the 93% market-implied probability for the $2.00–$2.25 range in July, reflecting trader consensus on normalized supply-demand balance after last year’s disruptions. A fresh HPAI outbreak or sharp rise in input costs could still push prices higher, though current indicators point to limited near-term volatility ahead of the August CPI release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.00–$2.25 93.0%
$2.25–$2.50 3.7%
$1.75–$2.00 2.9%
<$1.50 <1%
$24,035 Vol.
$24,035 Vol.
<$1.50
<1%
$1.50–$1.75
<1%
$1.75–$2.00
3%
$2.00–$2.25
93%
$2.25–$2.50
4%
$2.50–$2.75
<1%
$2.75–$3.00
<1%
$3.00–$3.25
<1%
$3.25–$3.50
<1%
≥$3.50
<1%
$2.00–$2.25 93.0%
$2.25–$2.50 3.7%
$1.75–$2.00 2.9%
<$1.50 <1%
$24,035 Vol.
$24,035 Vol.
<$1.50
<1%
$1.50–$1.75
<1%
$1.75–$2.00
3%
$2.00–$2.25
93%
$2.25–$2.50
4%
$2.50–$2.75
<1%
$2.75–$3.00
<1%
$3.00–$3.25
<1%
$3.25–$3.50
<1%
≥$3.50
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The July release is presently scheduled for August 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The July release is presently scheduled for August 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent BLS data show the U.S. average retail price for a dozen Grade A large eggs at $2.141 in June 2026 and $2.191 in May, continuing a decline from the 2025 avian influenza-driven peak above $6. Wholesale prices have also stabilized near $0.90 per dozen amid improved flock sizes and lower feed costs. These fundamentals underpin the 93% market-implied probability for the $2.00–$2.25 range in July, reflecting trader consensus on normalized supply-demand balance after last year’s disruptions. A fresh HPAI outbreak or sharp rise in input costs could still push prices higher, though current indicators point to limited near-term volatility ahead of the August CPI release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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