Argentina's May 2026 monthly inflation printed at 2.1% month-over-month per INDEC data released June 11, matching the exact threshold for the dominant ≤2.1% outcome and confirming the market's 100% implied probability. The print marked a further deceleration from April's 2.6% and March's 3.4%, reflecting sustained disinflation amid tighter monetary policy, peso stabilization, and subdued demand pressures. Year-over-year inflation edged up modestly to 33.6%, yet the monthly trend aligns with analyst forecasts around 2.3% and supports expectations for continued moderation. While the release largely eliminates outcome uncertainty, any subsequent INDEC revisions or methodological adjustments could theoretically alter final resolution, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this series.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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