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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$935,748,875 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$935,748,875 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,503,942 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,119,799 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,835,937 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,660,734 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,468,676 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,867,790 Vol.

4%

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Andy Beshear

$6,105,182 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,815,648 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$3,570,791 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,662,800 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,957,941 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,553,314 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,484,149 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,211,087 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,153,738 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,383,434 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,228,115 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,144,562 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,132,234 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,791,997 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,670,204 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,692,335 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,909,672 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,256,627 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,057,393 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,981,394 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,364,027 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,395,467 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,651,840 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,175,925 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,837,692 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,524,716 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,180,900 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,357,485 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,303,772 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,651,175 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,456,994 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,978,027 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,391,826 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,400,404 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,356,161 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,443,990 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,649,626 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,413,718 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by recent California primary polls showing him decisively leading Kamala Harris—such as POLITICO's March 12 survey and the LA Times March 20 findings—highlighting his home-state strength, $25 million war chest, and vocal opposition to the Trump administration amid 2026 midterm positioning. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive appeal and national visibility, while Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects Georgia swing-state incumbency. The fragmented field underscores an open invisible primary, where frontrunners differentiate via executive experience (Newsom), youth activism (AOC), and battleground viability (Ossoff); consolidation could hinge on midterm results, national polling surges, key endorsements, or fundraising dominance before Iowa caucuses.

California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by recent California primary polls showing him decisively leading Kamala Harris—such as POLITICO's March 12 survey and the LA Times March 20 findings—highlighting his home-state strength, $25 million war chest, and vocal opposition to the Trump administration amid 2026 midterm positioning. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive appeal and national visibility, while Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects Georgia swing-state incumbency. The fragmented field underscores an open invisible primary, where frontrunners differentiate via executive experience (Newsom), youth activism (AOC), and battleground viability (Ossoff); consolidation could hinge on midterm results, national polling surges, key endorsements, or fundraising dominance before Iowa caucuses.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by recent California primary polls showing him decisively leading Kamala Harris—such as POLITICO's March 12 survey and the LA Times March 20 findings—highlighting his home-state strength, $25 million war chest, and vocal opposition to the Trump administration amid 2026 midterm positioning. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive appeal and national visibility, while Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects Georgia swing-state incumbency. The fragmented field underscores an open invisible primary, where frontrunners differentiate via executive experience (Newsom), youth activism (AOC), and battleground viability (Ossoff); consolidation could hinge on midterm results, national polling surges, key endorsements, or fundraising dominance before Iowa caucuses.

California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by recent California primary polls showing him decisively leading Kamala Harris—such as POLITICO's March 12 survey and the LA Times March 20 findings—highlighting his home-state strength, $25 million war chest, and vocal opposition to the Trump administration amid 2026 midterm positioning. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive appeal and national visibility, while Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects Georgia swing-state incumbency. The fragmented field underscores an open invisible primary, where frontrunners differentiate via executive experience (Newsom), youth activism (AOC), and battleground viability (Ossoff); consolidation could hinge on midterm results, national polling surges, key endorsements, or fundraising dominance before Iowa caucuses.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $935.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.