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Politics·Primaries

New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Cinde Warmington 81%

John Kiper 11%

Tom Sherman 5.3%

Deaglan McEachern 3.4%

Polymarket

$19,657 Vol.

Cinde Warmington 81%

John Kiper 11%

Tom Sherman 5.3%

Deaglan McEachern 3.4%

Polymarket

$19,657 Vol.

Cinde Warmington

$7,974 Vol.

81%

John Kiper

$1,774 Vol.

11%

Tom Sherman

$1,675 Vol.

5%

Deaglan McEachern

$7,637 Vol.

3%

Donovan Fenton

$596 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Cinde Warmington as the Democratic primary winner for New Hampshire governor on September 8, 2026, reflecting her dominant position in the March Saint Anselm College poll (40% to Jon Kiper's 13%, 47% undecided) and recent first-quarter fundraising exceeding $700,000. Her prior 2024 gubernatorial bid provides strong name recognition among key Democratic voting blocs, while Portsmouth Mayor Deaglan McEachern's February 26 decision against entering the race consolidated support behind frontrunners. Kiper holds second place via grassroots enthusiasm from his previous campaign, but trails amid Warmington's financial edge and polling lead. Lower-tier candidates like Tom Sherman lack recent momentum or declarations, keeping their odds minimal ahead of the filing deadline in June.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$19,657
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Cinde Warmington as the Democratic primary winner for New Hampshire governor on September 8, 2026, reflecting her dominant position in the March Saint Anselm College poll (40% to Jon Kiper's 13%, 47% undecided) and recent first-quarter fundraising exceeding $700,000. Her prior 2024 gubernatorial bid provides strong name recognition among key Democratic voting blocs, while Portsmouth Mayor Deaglan McEachern's February 26 decision against entering the race consolidated support behind frontrunners. Kiper holds second place via grassroots enthusiasm from his previous campaign, but trails amid Warmington's financial edge and polling lead. Lower-tier candidates like Tom Sherman lack recent momentum or declarations, keeping their odds minimal ahead of the filing deadline in June.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$19,657
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cinde Warmington" at 81%, followed by "John Kiper" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $19.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Cinde Warmington" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Kiper" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.