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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$936,229,207 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$936,229,207 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,559,008 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,131,505 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,845,710 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,663,968 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,469,689 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,874,803 Vol.

4%

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Jon Stewart

$9,850,232 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$6,145,677 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$3,571,399 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,665,586 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,980,311 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,553,358 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,487,004 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,211,269 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,153,821 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,385,466 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,168,563 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,137,289 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,798,073 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,236,458 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,683,650 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,702,459 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,924,843 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,058,665 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,982,024 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,367,791 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,395,570 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,658,453 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,301,729 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,178,286 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,839,834 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,308,353 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,525,286 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,182,251 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,357,699 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,652,130 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,457,628 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,993,950 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,391,976 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,407,911 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,369,633 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,508,611 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,650,604 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,447,130 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the clear 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3%, driven by his executive experience, surging national fundraising, and recent high-profile interviews outlining plans to counter the Trump administration, including a March Politico sit-down amid California policy clashes. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.1%, buoyed by progressive enthusiasm and her February Munich conference visibility enhancing foreign policy credentials. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects swing-state Georgia appeal and moderate positioning, differentiating him from coastal liberals. Former VP Kamala Harris lags at 4.3% despite leading March national polls (22-31%), as traders factor 2024 baggage. This wide-open primary, with no odds above 25%, could consolidate via 2026 midterm results, donor commitments, battleground viability, and early primary endorsements.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the clear 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3%, driven by his executive experience, surging national fundraising, and recent high-profile interviews outlining plans to counter the Trump administration, including a March Politico sit-down amid California policy clashes. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.1%, buoyed by progressive enthusiasm and her February Munich conference visibility enhancing foreign policy credentials. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects swing-state Georgia appeal and moderate positioning, differentiating him from coastal liberals. Former VP Kamala Harris lags at 4.3% despite leading March national polls (22-31%), as traders factor 2024 baggage. This wide-open primary, with no odds above 25%, could consolidate via 2026 midterm results, donor commitments, battleground viability, and early primary endorsements.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the clear 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3%, driven by his executive experience, surging national fundraising, and recent high-profile interviews outlining plans to counter the Trump administration, including a March Politico sit-down amid California policy clashes. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.1%, buoyed by progressive enthusiasm and her February Munich conference visibility enhancing foreign policy credentials. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects swing-state Georgia appeal and moderate positioning, differentiating him from coastal liberals. Former VP Kamala Harris lags at 4.3% despite leading March national polls (22-31%), as traders factor 2024 baggage. This wide-open primary, with no odds above 25%, could consolidate via 2026 midterm results, donor commitments, battleground viability, and early primary endorsements.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the clear 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3%, driven by his executive experience, surging national fundraising, and recent high-profile interviews outlining plans to counter the Trump administration, including a March Politico sit-down amid California policy clashes. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.1%, buoyed by progressive enthusiasm and her February Munich conference visibility enhancing foreign policy credentials. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects swing-state Georgia appeal and moderate positioning, differentiating him from coastal liberals. Former VP Kamala Harris lags at 4.3% despite leading March national polls (22-31%), as traders factor 2024 baggage. This wide-open primary, with no odds above 25%, could consolidate via 2026 midterm results, donor commitments, battleground viability, and early primary endorsements.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $936.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.