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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.9%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.5%

Kamala Harris 5.3%

Jon Ossoff 4.3%

Polymarket

$763,615,020 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.9%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.5%

Kamala Harris 5.3%

Jon Ossoff 4.3%

Polymarket

$763,615,020 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$10,268,263 Vol.

25%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$5,272,390 Vol.

9%

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Kamala Harris

$7,315,944 Vol.

5%

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Jon Ossoff

$4,818,517 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$4,939,213 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$6,965,860 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$2,173,533 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$8,413,653 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$4,923,649 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$2,930,279 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$7,831,675 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$7,178,841 Vol.

2%

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Rahm Emanuel

$8,798,730 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$8,250,288 Vol.

2%

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Stephen A. Smith

$11,184,816 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$5,866,556 Vol.

2%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$7,595,360 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$17,435,053 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$30,593,080 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$17,952,756 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$20,300,754 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$13,878,904 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$13,612,251 Vol.

1%

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Ro Khanna

$3,289,639 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$28,191,594 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$8,715,174 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$23,524,865 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$18,665,786 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$32,975,973 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$27,770,172 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$32,931,846 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$29,601,237 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$25,991,184 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$40,733,973 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$31,017,100 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$21,256,244 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$36,660,133 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$31,121,113 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$31,704,432 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$24,901,381 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$24,388,194 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$14,636,272 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$31,877,155 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$15,161,187 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$763,615,020
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $763.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.