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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$935,647,088 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$935,647,088 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,503,891 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,119,580 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,835,937 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,660,734 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,468,668 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,867,789 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$3,515,591 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$6,103,973 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,815,647 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,662,747 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,952,425 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,553,314 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,484,149 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,211,087 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,153,738 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,383,403 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,227,602 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,144,101 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,128,934 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,789,797 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,668,804 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,691,245 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,899,572 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,256,621 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,057,393 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,981,394 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,363,963 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,395,467 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,651,840 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,175,925 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,837,692 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,524,698 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,180,900 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,357,485 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,651,175 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,456,994 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,978,027 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,290,511 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,391,826 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,400,390 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,356,143 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,435,251 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,649,626 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,413,718 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors California Governor Gavin Newsom at 24.1% implied probability as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points among California Democrats in a hypothetical primary matchup, alongside his national book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire and hints at a presidential bid during a March 15 South by Southwest appearance. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.1% buoyed by her expanded party role and February international engagements boosting her progressive profile, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects his swing-state Senate incumbency in Georgia. The wide-open field lacks a clear frontrunner above 25%, with consolidation hinging on 2026 midterm results for governors like Shapiro and Whitmer, early fundraising leads, major endorsements, and polling trends in battleground states ahead of the 2028 primaries.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors California Governor Gavin Newsom at 24.1% implied probability as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points among California Democrats in a hypothetical primary matchup, alongside his national book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire and hints at a presidential bid during a March 15 South by Southwest appearance. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.1% buoyed by her expanded party role and February international engagements boosting her progressive profile, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects his swing-state Senate incumbency in Georgia. The wide-open field lacks a clear frontrunner above 25%, with consolidation hinging on 2026 midterm results for governors like Shapiro and Whitmer, early fundraising leads, major endorsements, and polling trends in battleground states ahead of the 2028 primaries.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors California Governor Gavin Newsom at 24.1% implied probability as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points among California Democrats in a hypothetical primary matchup, alongside his national book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire and hints at a presidential bid during a March 15 South by Southwest appearance. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.1% buoyed by her expanded party role and February international engagements boosting her progressive profile, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects his swing-state Senate incumbency in Georgia. The wide-open field lacks a clear frontrunner above 25%, with consolidation hinging on 2026 midterm results for governors like Shapiro and Whitmer, early fundraising leads, major endorsements, and polling trends in battleground states ahead of the 2028 primaries.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors California Governor Gavin Newsom at 24.1% implied probability as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points among California Democrats in a hypothetical primary matchup, alongside his national book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire and hints at a presidential bid during a March 15 South by Southwest appearance. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.1% buoyed by her expanded party role and February international engagements boosting her progressive profile, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects his swing-state Senate incumbency in Georgia. The wide-open field lacks a clear frontrunner above 25%, with consolidation hinging on 2026 midterm results for governors like Shapiro and Whitmer, early fundraising leads, major endorsements, and polling trends in battleground states ahead of the 2028 primaries.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $935.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.