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Politics·Primaries

Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Keisha Lance Bottoms 85%

Geoff Duncan 10%

Jason Esteves 5%

Mike Thurmond 1.1%

Polymarket

$24,400 Vol.

Keisha Lance Bottoms 85%

Geoff Duncan 10%

Jason Esteves 5%

Mike Thurmond 1.1%

Polymarket

$24,400 Vol.

Keisha Lance Bottoms

$17,166 Vol.

85%

Geoff Duncan

$0 Vol.

10%

Jason Esteves

$7,235 Vol.

5%

Mike Thurmond

$0 Vol.

1%

Ruwa Romman

$0 Vol.

1%

Derrick Jackson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Olujimi Brown

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Keisha Lance Bottoms leads trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability for the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by her high name recognition as former Atlanta mayor, national profile from the Biden transition team, and active Democratic recruitment efforts positioning her as the frontrunner despite no formal announcement. Former Republican Lt. Governor Geoff Duncan has surged to 9.5% following his October 23 party switch to Democrat and campaign launch, appealing to crossover voters amid GOP fatigue in the state. State Sen. Jason Esteves holds 5.0% with steady grassroots organizing, while others trail amid sparse polling and fundraising data this early cycle. The May 2026 primary remains distant, with candidate announcements and first-quarter filings as key catalysts.

Keisha Lance Bottoms leads trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability for the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by her high name recognition as former Atlanta mayor, national profile from the Biden transition team, and active Democratic recruitment efforts positioning her as the frontrunner despite no formal announcement. Former Republican Lt. Governor Geoff Duncan has surged to 9.5% following his October 23 party switch to Democrat and campaign launch, appealing to crossover voters amid GOP fatigue in the state. State Sen. Jason Esteves holds 5.0% with steady grassroots organizing, while others trail amid sparse polling and fundraising data this early cycle. The May 2026 primary remains distant, with candidate announcements and first-quarter filings as key catalysts.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Keisha Lance Bottoms leads trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability for the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by her high name recognition as former Atlanta mayor, national profile from the Biden transition team, and active Democratic recruitment efforts positioning her as the frontrunner despite no formal announcement. Former Republican Lt. Governor Geoff Duncan has surged to 9.5% following his October 23 party switch to Democrat and campaign launch, appealing to crossover voters amid GOP fatigue in the state. State Sen. Jason Esteves holds 5.0% with steady grassroots organizing, while others trail amid sparse polling and fundraising data this early cycle. The May 2026 primary remains distant, with candidate announcements and first-quarter filings as key catalysts.

Keisha Lance Bottoms leads trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability for the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by her high name recognition as former Atlanta mayor, national profile from the Biden transition team, and active Democratic recruitment efforts positioning her as the frontrunner despite no formal announcement. Former Republican Lt. Governor Geoff Duncan has surged to 9.5% following his October 23 party switch to Democrat and campaign launch, appealing to crossover voters amid GOP fatigue in the state. State Sen. Jason Esteves holds 5.0% with steady grassroots organizing, while others trail amid sparse polling and fundraising data this early cycle. The May 2026 primary remains distant, with candidate announcements and first-quarter filings as key catalysts.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keisha Lance Bottoms" at 85%, followed by "Geoff Duncan" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $24.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Keisha Lance Bottoms" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Geoff Duncan" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.