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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$936,671,787 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$936,671,787 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,572,556 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,133,693 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,846,561 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,670,661 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,476,235 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,875,614 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$3,609,452 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,856,849 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$6,155,134 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,667,650 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,990,345 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,553,368 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,487,004 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,212,550 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,155,103 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,402,438 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,143,981 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,811,480 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,246,661 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,220,139 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,702,070 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,728,321 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,945,312 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,058,776 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,986,297 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,384,356 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,396,848 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,670,157 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,321,881 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,192,210 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,843,365 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,318,646 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,534,469 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,185,756 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,375,569 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,717,198 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,466,094 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,997,263 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,395,361 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,414,011 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,376,635 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,522,048 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,660,919 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,451,760 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Gavin Newsom at 24% to secure the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination in a fragmented field lacking an incumbent after the 2024 defeat, reflecting his executive experience as California governor, national fundraising prowess, and high visibility from recent anti-Trump interviews warning of potential Democratic losses. Recent New Hampshire polls highlight volatility—Saint Anselm (March 16-18) shows Pete Buttigieg leading at 29% with Newsom dropping to 15%, while Emerson (March 21-23) has Buttigieg at 20%, AOC at 12%, and Newsom tied near 12%—yet markets favor Newsom's electability edge over AOC's progressive base appeal or Ossoff's battleground credentials. Consolidation could follow 2026 midterms, key endorsements, or economic shifts under the Republican administration.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Gavin Newsom at 24% to secure the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination in a fragmented field lacking an incumbent after the 2024 defeat, reflecting his executive experience as California governor, national fundraising prowess, and high visibility from recent anti-Trump interviews warning of potential Democratic losses. Recent New Hampshire polls highlight volatility—Saint Anselm (March 16-18) shows Pete Buttigieg leading at 29% with Newsom dropping to 15%, while Emerson (March 21-23) has Buttigieg at 20%, AOC at 12%, and Newsom tied near 12%—yet markets favor Newsom's electability edge over AOC's progressive base appeal or Ossoff's battleground credentials. Consolidation could follow 2026 midterms, key endorsements, or economic shifts under the Republican administration.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Gavin Newsom at 24% to secure the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination in a fragmented field lacking an incumbent after the 2024 defeat, reflecting his executive experience as California governor, national fundraising prowess, and high visibility from recent anti-Trump interviews warning of potential Democratic losses. Recent New Hampshire polls highlight volatility—Saint Anselm (March 16-18) shows Pete Buttigieg leading at 29% with Newsom dropping to 15%, while Emerson (March 21-23) has Buttigieg at 20%, AOC at 12%, and Newsom tied near 12%—yet markets favor Newsom's electability edge over AOC's progressive base appeal or Ossoff's battleground credentials. Consolidation could follow 2026 midterms, key endorsements, or economic shifts under the Republican administration.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Gavin Newsom at 24% to secure the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination in a fragmented field lacking an incumbent after the 2024 defeat, reflecting his executive experience as California governor, national fundraising prowess, and high visibility from recent anti-Trump interviews warning of potential Democratic losses. Recent New Hampshire polls highlight volatility—Saint Anselm (March 16-18) shows Pete Buttigieg leading at 29% with Newsom dropping to 15%, while Emerson (March 21-23) has Buttigieg at 20%, AOC at 12%, and Newsom tied near 12%—yet markets favor Newsom's electability edge over AOC's progressive base appeal or Ossoff's battleground credentials. Consolidation could follow 2026 midterms, key endorsements, or economic shifts under the Republican administration.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $936.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.