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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$935,911,234 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$935,911,234 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,513,535 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,128,104 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,836,264 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,660,914 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,469,374 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,869,742 Vol.

4%

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Andy Beshear

$6,108,988 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,836,275 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$3,570,957 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,662,994 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,979,858 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,553,314 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,484,949 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,211,130 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,153,821 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,383,603 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,231,803 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,164,737 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,133,498 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,795,997 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,671,871 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,696,661 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,918,541 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,256,744 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,057,419 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,981,394 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,364,773 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,395,530 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,651,876 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,175,963 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,838,489 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,524,743 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,180,925 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,357,677 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,303,772 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,651,181 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,457,113 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,978,050 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,391,966 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,406,583 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,367,764 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,470,254 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,649,657 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,413,734 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom holds a 24.3% implied probability as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus driven by a recent California poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points among state Democrats and his sustained national profile as a Trump critic with strong fundraising. The wide-open primary field features Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.1% buoyed by progressive grassroots energy and Jon Ossoff at 5.7% after a viral anti-Trump Senate speech, while Harris languishes at 4.3% amid post-2024 election fallout. Key differentiators include executive experience for governors like Newsom, swing-state appeal for senators like Ossoff, and ideological lanes; consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, national primary polling trends, and early endorsements before the 2028 convention.

California Governor Gavin Newsom holds a 24.3% implied probability as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus driven by a recent California poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points among state Democrats and his sustained national profile as a Trump critic with strong fundraising. The wide-open primary field features Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.1% buoyed by progressive grassroots energy and Jon Ossoff at 5.7% after a viral anti-Trump Senate speech, while Harris languishes at 4.3% amid post-2024 election fallout. Key differentiators include executive experience for governors like Newsom, swing-state appeal for senators like Ossoff, and ideological lanes; consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, national primary polling trends, and early endorsements before the 2028 convention.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom holds a 24.3% implied probability as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus driven by a recent California poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points among state Democrats and his sustained national profile as a Trump critic with strong fundraising. The wide-open primary field features Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.1% buoyed by progressive grassroots energy and Jon Ossoff at 5.7% after a viral anti-Trump Senate speech, while Harris languishes at 4.3% amid post-2024 election fallout. Key differentiators include executive experience for governors like Newsom, swing-state appeal for senators like Ossoff, and ideological lanes; consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, national primary polling trends, and early endorsements before the 2028 convention.

California Governor Gavin Newsom holds a 24.3% implied probability as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus driven by a recent California poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points among state Democrats and his sustained national profile as a Trump critic with strong fundraising. The wide-open primary field features Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.1% buoyed by progressive grassroots energy and Jon Ossoff at 5.7% after a viral anti-Trump Senate speech, while Harris languishes at 4.3% amid post-2024 election fallout. Key differentiators include executive experience for governors like Newsom, swing-state appeal for senators like Ossoff, and ideological lanes; consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, national primary polling trends, and early endorsements before the 2028 convention.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $935.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.