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Politics·Primaries

Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Ethan Corson 70%

Cindy Holscher 29%

Marty Tuley <1%

Polymarket

$52,132 Vol.

Ethan Corson 70%

Cindy Holscher 29%

Marty Tuley <1%

Polymarket

$52,132 Vol.

Ethan Corson

$1,279 Vol.

70%

Cindy Holscher

$1,506 Vol.

29%

Marty Tuley

$49,347 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Kansas Governor Democratic primary, set for August 4, heavily favors State Sen. Ethan Corson at 65% implied probability, propelled by endorsements from outgoing Gov. Laura Kelly and former Gov. Kathleen Sebelius in January, coupled with his fundraising lead of over $900,000 through last year. State Sen. Cindy Holscher trails at 33.5%, bolstered by her campaign's internal January poll claiming a double-digit edge, though independent surveys showed most Democratic voters undecided. Longshot Marty Tuley holds 1.4% amid low name recognition. A March 8 debate highlighted affordability, health care, and rural priorities but produced no polling shifts, leaving momentum with Corson's institutional backing as key voting blocs in Johnson County suburbs coalesce ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$52,132
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Kansas Governor Democratic primary, set for August 4, heavily favors State Sen. Ethan Corson at 65% implied probability, propelled by endorsements from outgoing Gov. Laura Kelly and former Gov. Kathleen Sebelius in January, coupled with his fundraising lead of over $900,000 through last year. State Sen. Cindy Holscher trails at 33.5%, bolstered by her campaign's internal January poll claiming a double-digit edge, though independent surveys showed most Democratic voters undecided. Longshot Marty Tuley holds 1.4% amid low name recognition. A March 8 debate highlighted affordability, health care, and rural priorities but produced no polling shifts, leaving momentum with Corson's institutional backing as key voting blocs in Johnson County suburbs coalesce ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$52,132
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ethan Corson" at 70%, followed by "Cindy Holscher" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $52.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Ethan Corson" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cindy Holscher" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.