Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.9%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.8%

Kamala Harris 5.3%

Jon Ossoff 4.4%

Polymarket

$771,964,150 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.9%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.8%

Kamala Harris 5.3%

Jon Ossoff 4.4%

Polymarket

$771,964,150 Vol.

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$10,407,883 Vol.

25%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$5,320,417 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$7,382,838 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$4,870,143 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Josh Shapiro

$4,977,234 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$7,293,201 Vol.

3%

Market icon

James Talarico

$2,255,960 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Andy Beshear

$4,947,343 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Jon Stewart

$8,070,405 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ruben Gallego

$2,967,569 Vol.

2%

Market icon

J.B. Pritzker

$7,238,822 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Mark Kelly

$8,904,197 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$6,191,525 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$9,206,559 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Stephen A. Smith

$11,217,681 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Wes Moore

$8,725,693 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$7,627,205 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$17,489,553 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$20,356,014 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Michelle Obama

$17,985,009 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Zohran Mamdani

$30,628,957 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$13,973,310 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mark Cuban

$13,651,909 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ro Khanna

$3,322,553 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Phil Murphy

$28,268,372 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$8,746,612 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gina Raimondo

$23,593,692 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Raphael Warnock

$18,780,698 Vol.

1%

Market icon

George Clooney

$33,143,126 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Liz Cheney

$28,089,503 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Andrew Yang

$33,122,062 Vol.

1%

Market icon

LeBron James

$29,827,762 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hunter Biden

$26,188,140 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chelsea Clinton

$41,047,512 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$31,194,551 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Roy Cooper

$21,412,576 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Oprah Winfrey

$37,307,677 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$31,868,779 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Beto O’Rourke

$25,031,924 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$24,667,796 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jared Polis

$14,878,886 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$32,045,697 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$31,916,758 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jasmine Crockett

$15,820,345 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$771,964,150
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $772 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.