Trader consensus favors former Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington at 80.5% to win the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by a March 23 Saint Anselm College poll showing her leading John Kiper 40%-13% among registered voters, with 47% undecided likely consolidating behind her name recognition and fundraising strength exceeding $700,000 in Q1 2026. Her February launch as 2024 primary runner-up, bolstered by GOP attack ads treating her as the presumptive nominee, has widened her edge over Kiper's 10.5% grassroots base from past campaigns. State Sen. Tom Sherman's 5.8% reflects limited momentum, while Deaglan McEachern (2.7%) and Donovan Fenton (0.5%) lag amid field clarity ahead of June filing deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedCinde Warmington 81%
John Kiper 11%
Tom Sherman 5.2%
Deaglan McEachern 3.5%
$17,800 Vol.
$17,800 Vol.
Cinde Warmington
81%
John Kiper
11%
Tom Sherman
5%
Deaglan McEachern
4%
Donovan Fenton
<1%
Cinde Warmington 81%
John Kiper 11%
Tom Sherman 5.2%
Deaglan McEachern 3.5%
$17,800 Vol.
$17,800 Vol.
Cinde Warmington
81%
John Kiper
11%
Tom Sherman
5%
Deaglan McEachern
4%
Donovan Fenton
<1%
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors former Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington at 80.5% to win the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by a March 23 Saint Anselm College poll showing her leading John Kiper 40%-13% among registered voters, with 47% undecided likely consolidating behind her name recognition and fundraising strength exceeding $700,000 in Q1 2026. Her February launch as 2024 primary runner-up, bolstered by GOP attack ads treating her as the presumptive nominee, has widened her edge over Kiper's 10.5% grassroots base from past campaigns. State Sen. Tom Sherman's 5.8% reflects limited momentum, while Deaglan McEachern (2.7%) and Donovan Fenton (0.5%) lag amid field clarity ahead of June filing deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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