Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party of Korea's Chong Won-oh at 80.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, reflecting his widening lead in recent polls over incumbent People Power Party Mayor Oh Se-hoon—42.6% to 28% in a March 31 News1 survey—amid a national Democratic surge. Chong, Seongdong District mayor, secured the party's nomination in late March primaries using dues-paying member voting, outpacing rivals like Rep. Park Ju-min (now at 4.9%). Oh trails at 10.5% despite entering his party's three-way primary victoriously, hampered by ongoing court testimony over alleged opinion poll funding irregularities as of April 3. Remaining candidates hold slim chances pending final nominations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Chong Won-oh 81%
Oh Se-hoon 11%
Park Ju-min 5.0%
Cho Eun-hee <1%
$13,385,071 Vol.
$13,385,071 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
Chong Won-oh
81%
Oh Se-hoon
11%
Park Ju-min
5%
Cho Eun-hee
1%
Park Yong-jin
1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
1%
Cho Kuk
1%
Seo Young-kyo
1%
Hong Ihk-pyo
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Park Hong-keun
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Jeon Hyun-heui
<1%
Chong Won-oh 81%
Oh Se-hoon 11%
Park Ju-min 5.0%
Cho Eun-hee <1%
$13,385,071 Vol.
$13,385,071 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
Chong Won-oh
$358,864 Vol.
81%
Oh Se-hoon
$588,763 Vol.
11%
Park Ju-min
$472,866 Vol.
5%
Cho Eun-hee
$1,642,471 Vol.
1%
Park Yong-jin
$1,621,476 Vol.
1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
$712,700 Vol.
1%
Cho Kuk
$989,416 Vol.
1%
Seo Young-kyo
$1,358,768 Vol.
1%
Hong Ihk-pyo
$1,066,412 Vol.
<1%
Na Kyung-won
$1,158,422 Vol.
<1%
Park Hong-keun
$1,100,585 Vol.
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
$549,220 Vol.
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
$971,785 Vol.
<1%
Jeon Hyun-heui
$794,880 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party of Korea's Chong Won-oh at 80.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, reflecting his widening lead in recent polls over incumbent People Power Party Mayor Oh Se-hoon—42.6% to 28% in a March 31 News1 survey—amid a national Democratic surge. Chong, Seongdong District mayor, secured the party's nomination in late March primaries using dues-paying member voting, outpacing rivals like Rep. Park Ju-min (now at 4.9%). Oh trails at 10.5% despite entering his party's three-way primary victoriously, hampered by ongoing court testimony over alleged opinion poll funding irregularities as of April 3. Remaining candidates hold slim chances pending final nominations.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Market Opened: Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$13,385,071End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party of Korea's Chong Won-oh at 80.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, reflecting his widening lead in recent polls over incumbent People Power Party Mayor Oh Se-hoon—42.6% to 28% in a March 31 News1 survey—amid a national Democratic surge. Chong, Seongdong District mayor, secured the party's nomination in late March primaries using dues-paying member voting, outpacing rivals like Rep. Park Ju-min (now at 4.9%). Oh trails at 10.5% despite entering his party's three-way primary victoriously, hampered by ongoing court testimony over alleged opinion poll funding irregularities as of April 3. Remaining candidates hold slim chances pending final nominations.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Volume
$13,385,071End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party of Korea's Chong Won-oh at 80.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, reflecting his widening lead in recent polls over incumbent People Power Party Mayor Oh Se-hoon—42.6% to 28% in a March 31 News1 survey—amid a national Democratic surge. Chong, Seongdong District mayor, secured the party's nomination in late March primaries using dues-paying member voting, outpacing rivals like Rep. Park Ju-min (now at 4.9%). Oh trails at 10.5% despite entering his party's three-way primary victoriously, hampered by ongoing court testimony over alleged opinion poll funding irregularities as of April 3. Remaining candidates hold slim chances pending final nominations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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