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MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

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MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

Jeremy Moss 80%

Don Ufford 10%

Andy Levin 9%

Aisha Farooqi 7.3%

Polymarket

$13,370 Vol.

Jeremy Moss 80%

Don Ufford 10%

Andy Levin 9%

Aisha Farooqi 7.3%

Polymarket

$13,370 Vol.

Jeremy Moss

$5,054 Vol.

80%

Don Ufford

$0 Vol.

10%

Andy Levin

$2,683 Vol.

9%

Aisha Farooqi

$5,467 Vol.

7%

Dave Woodward

$166 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Senate President Pro Tem Jeremy Moss commands 79.5% trader consensus as the frontrunner in the open MI-11 Democratic primary, fueled by his dominant fundraising—$572,000 cash on hand per the latest April quarterly filing—and organizational edge as the first candidate to submit ballot petitions on April 14 ahead of the April 21 filing deadline. Incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens' Senate bid has created this competitive field, where Moss benefits from key endorsements like Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's and Rep. Lisa McClain's support, bolstering his path in the Oakland County battleground. Former Rep. Andy Levin holds 9% on name recognition from his 2022 primary loss, while attorney Aisha Farooqi (7.3%), ex-Ford engineer Don Ufford (5%), and Dave Woodward (2.6%) lag amid limited momentum, with the August 4 primary four months away.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$13,370
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Senate President Pro Tem Jeremy Moss commands 79.5% trader consensus as the frontrunner in the open MI-11 Democratic primary, fueled by his dominant fundraising—$572,000 cash on hand per the latest April quarterly filing—and organizational edge as the first candidate to submit ballot petitions on April 14 ahead of the April 21 filing deadline. Incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens' Senate bid has created this competitive field, where Moss benefits from key endorsements like Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's and Rep. Lisa McClain's support, bolstering his path in the Oakland County battleground. Former Rep. Andy Levin holds 9% on name recognition from his 2022 primary loss, while attorney Aisha Farooqi (7.3%), ex-Ford engineer Don Ufford (5%), and Dave Woodward (2.6%) lag amid limited momentum, with the August 4 primary four months away.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$13,370
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jeremy Moss" at 80%, followed by "Andy Levin" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $13.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Jeremy Moss" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andy Levin" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.