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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$936,175,601 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$936,175,601 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,555,197 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,128,330 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,845,392 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,661,682 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,469,535 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,874,757 Vol.

4%

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Jon Stewart

$9,843,722 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$6,145,156 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$3,571,152 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,663,409 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,980,291 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,553,344 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,485,991 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,211,259 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,153,821 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,385,466 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,236,449 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,167,563 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,135,023 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,798,002 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,680,104 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,699,396 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,922,415 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,295,187 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,058,487 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,981,436 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,367,187 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,395,564 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,655,420 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,176,105 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,838,507 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,307,725 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,525,280 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,181,009 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,357,677 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,651,977 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,457,144 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,993,890 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,391,976 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,406,589 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,367,807 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,507,867 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,650,205 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,445,362 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices California Gov. Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3%, reflecting his executive experience, $25 million fundraising war chest, and national profile from Trump-era critiques, despite recent California polling showing plummeting support and national surveys favoring Kamala Harris (4.3% market share). Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (8.1%) draws progressive enthusiasm amid centrist efforts to block left-wing bids, while Sen. Jon Ossoff (5.7%) benefits from Georgia swing-state resilience. In this wide-open primary field absent an incumbent, key differentiators include governors' records (e.g., Pennsylvania's Josh Shapiro at 3.8%), Senate battleground victories, and electability perceptions diverging from polling averages; 2026 midterms, donor commitments, and early endorsements could consolidate support behind a viable general-election contender.

Trader consensus prices California Gov. Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3%, reflecting his executive experience, $25 million fundraising war chest, and national profile from Trump-era critiques, despite recent California polling showing plummeting support and national surveys favoring Kamala Harris (4.3% market share). Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (8.1%) draws progressive enthusiasm amid centrist efforts to block left-wing bids, while Sen. Jon Ossoff (5.7%) benefits from Georgia swing-state resilience. In this wide-open primary field absent an incumbent, key differentiators include governors' records (e.g., Pennsylvania's Josh Shapiro at 3.8%), Senate battleground victories, and electability perceptions diverging from polling averages; 2026 midterms, donor commitments, and early endorsements could consolidate support behind a viable general-election contender.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices California Gov. Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3%, reflecting his executive experience, $25 million fundraising war chest, and national profile from Trump-era critiques, despite recent California polling showing plummeting support and national surveys favoring Kamala Harris (4.3% market share). Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (8.1%) draws progressive enthusiasm amid centrist efforts to block left-wing bids, while Sen. Jon Ossoff (5.7%) benefits from Georgia swing-state resilience. In this wide-open primary field absent an incumbent, key differentiators include governors' records (e.g., Pennsylvania's Josh Shapiro at 3.8%), Senate battleground victories, and electability perceptions diverging from polling averages; 2026 midterms, donor commitments, and early endorsements could consolidate support behind a viable general-election contender.

Trader consensus prices California Gov. Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3%, reflecting his executive experience, $25 million fundraising war chest, and national profile from Trump-era critiques, despite recent California polling showing plummeting support and national surveys favoring Kamala Harris (4.3% market share). Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (8.1%) draws progressive enthusiasm amid centrist efforts to block left-wing bids, while Sen. Jon Ossoff (5.7%) benefits from Georgia swing-state resilience. In this wide-open primary field absent an incumbent, key differentiators include governors' records (e.g., Pennsylvania's Josh Shapiro at 3.8%), Senate battleground victories, and electability perceptions diverging from polling averages; 2026 midterms, donor commitments, and early endorsements could consolidate support behind a viable general-election contender.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $936.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.