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Politics·Primaries

Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner

Megan Degenfelder 75.4%

Eric Barlow 8.3%

Brent Bien 5.5%

Mark Gordon 3.9%

Polymarket

$47,881 Vol.

Megan Degenfelder 75.4%

Eric Barlow 8.3%

Brent Bien 5.5%

Mark Gordon 3.9%

Polymarket

$47,881 Vol.

Megan Degenfelder

$4,204 Vol.

75%

Eric Barlow

$17,555 Vol.

13%

Brent Bien

$2,174 Vol.

5%

Mark Gordon

$1,438 Vol.

4%

Chuck Gray

$1,504 Vol.

2%

Harriet Hageman

$2,069 Vol.

1%

Joseph Kibler

$6,862 Vol.

1%

Ogen Driskill

$1,119 Vol.

1%

Bo Biteman

$2,302 Vol.

<1%

Tara Nethercott

$1,353 Vol.

<1%

Paul Ulrich

$1,334 Vol.

<1%

Reid Rasner

$2,364 Vol.

<1%

Chip Neiman

$1,150 Vol.

<1%

Curt Meier

$1,235 Vol.

<1%

Cheri Steinmetz

$1,219 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.With term-limited Gov. Mark Gordon ineligible for re-election, Wyoming's open Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18 reflects trader consensus heavily favoring state Superintendent Megan Degenfelder at 75%, propelled by President Trump's January endorsement and Rep. Harriet Hageman's backing announced last week, positioning her as the leading conservative aligned with national GOP figures. State Sen. Eric Barlow holds second at 13% amid his active statewide campaigning and legislative profile, while Brent Bien and Gordon linger lower despite the latter's constitutional bar. Absent public polls, early endorsements and post-legislative momentum shape the crowded field, though a larger primary contest could shift dynamics ahead of summer conventions.

With term-limited Gov. Mark Gordon ineligible for re-election, Wyoming's open Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18 reflects trader consensus heavily favoring state Superintendent Megan Degenfelder at 75%, propelled by President Trump's January endorsement and Rep. Harriet Hageman's backing announced last week, positioning her as the leading conservative aligned with national GOP figures. State Sen. Eric Barlow holds second at 13% amid his active statewide campaigning and legislative profile, while Brent Bien and Gordon linger lower despite the latter's constitutional bar. Absent public polls, early endorsements and post-legislative momentum shape the crowded field, though a larger primary contest could shift dynamics ahead of summer conventions.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.With term-limited Gov. Mark Gordon ineligible for re-election, Wyoming's open Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18 reflects trader consensus heavily favoring state Superintendent Megan Degenfelder at 75%, propelled by President Trump's January endorsement and Rep. Harriet Hageman's backing announced last week, positioning her as the leading conservative aligned with national GOP figures. State Sen. Eric Barlow holds second at 13% amid his active statewide campaigning and legislative profile, while Brent Bien and Gordon linger lower despite the latter's constitutional bar. Absent public polls, early endorsements and post-legislative momentum shape the crowded field, though a larger primary contest could shift dynamics ahead of summer conventions.

With term-limited Gov. Mark Gordon ineligible for re-election, Wyoming's open Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18 reflects trader consensus heavily favoring state Superintendent Megan Degenfelder at 75%, propelled by President Trump's January endorsement and Rep. Harriet Hageman's backing announced last week, positioning her as the leading conservative aligned with national GOP figures. State Sen. Eric Barlow holds second at 13% amid his active statewide campaigning and legislative profile, while Brent Bien and Gordon linger lower despite the latter's constitutional bar. Absent public polls, early endorsements and post-legislative momentum shape the crowded field, though a larger primary contest could shift dynamics ahead of summer conventions.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Megan Degenfelder" at 75%, followed by "Eric Barlow" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $47.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Megan Degenfelder" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eric Barlow" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.