Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
$6,929,664 Vol.
October 30
$77,645 Vol.
Yes
October 30
$77,645 Vol.
Yes
October 31
$153,814 Vol.
No
October 31
$153,814 Vol.
No
November 1
$77,419 Vol.
No
November 1
$77,419 Vol.
No
November 2
$104,552 Vol.
Yes
November 2
$104,552 Vol.
Yes
November 3
$79,019 Vol.
Yes
November 3
$79,019 Vol.
Yes
November 4
$126,778 Vol.
Yes
November 4
$126,778 Vol.
Yes
November 5
$203,702 Vol.
No
November 5
$203,702 Vol.
No
November 6
$49,111 Vol.
No
November 6
$49,111 Vol.
No
November 7
$35,457 Vol.
No
November 7
$35,457 Vol.
No
November 8
$15,571 Vol.
Yes
November 8
$15,571 Vol.
Yes
November 9
$1,280,816 Vol.
No
November 9
$1,280,816 Vol.
No
November 10
$61,561 Vol.
Yes
November 10
$61,561 Vol.
Yes
November 11
$29,870 Vol.
No
November 11
$29,870 Vol.
No
November 12
$92,584 Vol.
Yes
November 12
$92,584 Vol.
Yes
November 13
$54,020 Vol.
No
November 13
$54,020 Vol.
No
November 14
$45,955 Vol.
No
November 14
$45,955 Vol.
No
November 15
$42,589 Vol.
No
November 15
$42,589 Vol.
No
November 16
$83,132 Vol.
Yes
November 16
$83,132 Vol.
Yes
November 17
$87,333 Vol.
Yes
November 17
$87,333 Vol.
Yes
November 18
$85,671 Vol.
No
November 18
$85,671 Vol.
No
November 19
$44,963 Vol.
Yes
November 19
$44,963 Vol.
Yes
November 20
$54,782 Vol.
Yes
November 20
$54,782 Vol.
Yes
November 21
$26,088 Vol.
Yes
November 21
$26,088 Vol.
Yes
November 22
$21,268 Vol.
Yes
November 22
$21,268 Vol.
Yes
November 23
$30,534 Vol.
No
November 23
$30,534 Vol.
No
November 24
$14,365 Vol.
Yes
November 24
$14,365 Vol.
Yes
November 25
$59,307 Vol.
No
November 25
$59,307 Vol.
No
November 26
$53,317 Vol.
Yes
November 26
$53,317 Vol.
Yes
November 27
$33,245 Vol.
No
November 27
$33,245 Vol.
No
November 28
$12,086 Vol.
Yes
November 28
$12,086 Vol.
Yes
November 29
$11,476 Vol.
Yes
November 29
$11,476 Vol.
Yes
November 30
$1,857,452 Vol.
No
November 30
$1,857,452 Vol.
No
December 1
$62,509 Vol.
Yes
December 1
$62,509 Vol.
Yes
December 2
$106,063 Vol.
Yes
December 2
$106,063 Vol.
Yes
December 3
$147,719 Vol.
Yes
December 3
$147,719 Vol.
Yes
December 4
$85,586 Vol.
No
December 4
$85,586 Vol.
No
December 5
$71,822 Vol.
Yes
December 5
$71,822 Vol.
Yes
December 6
$139,818 Vol.
No
December 6
$139,818 Vol.
No
December 7
$60,961 Vol.
No
December 7
$60,961 Vol.
No
December 8
$131,667 Vol.
Yes
December 8
$131,667 Vol.
Yes
December 9
$57,324 Vol.
No
December 9
$57,324 Vol.
No
December 10
$35,639 Vol.
No
December 10
$35,639 Vol.
No
December 11
$31,527 Vol.
No
December 11
$31,527 Vol.
No
December 12
$18,538 Vol.
No
December 12
$18,538 Vol.
No
December 13
$15,811 Vol.
Yes
December 13
$15,811 Vol.
Yes
December 14
$44,676 Vol.
No
December 14
$44,676 Vol.
No
December 15
$15,593 Vol.
No
December 15
$15,593 Vol.
No
December 16
$19,598 Vol.
No
December 16
$19,598 Vol.
No
December 17
$54,038 Vol.
No
December 17
$54,038 Vol.
No
December 18
$20,785 Vol.
Yes
December 18
$20,785 Vol.
Yes
December 19
$18,414 Vol.
Yes
December 19
$18,414 Vol.
Yes
December 20
$156,923 Vol.
Yes
December 20
$156,923 Vol.
Yes
December 21
$95,642 Vol.
Yes
December 21
$95,642 Vol.
Yes
December 22
$103,890 Vol.
No
December 22
$103,890 Vol.
No
December 23
$42,350 Vol.
No
December 23
$42,350 Vol.
No
December 24
$79,828 Vol.
No
December 24
$79,828 Vol.
No
December 25
$97,271 Vol.
Yes
December 25
$97,271 Vol.
Yes
December 26
$90,936 Vol.
No
December 26
$90,936 Vol.
No
December 27
$29,623 Vol.
No
December 27
$29,623 Vol.
No
December 28
$19,861 Vol.
No
December 28
$19,861 Vol.
No
December 29
$18,062 Vol.
No
December 29
$18,062 Vol.
No
December 30
$23,206 Vol.
No
December 30
$23,206 Vol.
No
December 31
$28,504 Vol.
No
December 31
$28,504 Vol.
No
Rules
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Created At: Oct 29, 2025, 2:05 AM UTC
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$6,929,664 Vol.
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
October 30
Yes
October 31
No
November 1
No
November 2
Yes
November 3
Yes
November 4
Yes
November 5
No
November 6
No
November 7
No
November 8
Yes
November 9
No
November 10
Yes
November 11
No
November 12
Yes
November 13
No
November 14
No
November 15
No
November 16
Yes
November 17
Yes
November 18
No
November 19
Yes
November 20
Yes
November 21
Yes
November 22
Yes
November 23
No
November 24
Yes
November 25
No
November 26
Yes
November 27
No
November 28
Yes
November 29
Yes
November 30
No
December 1
Yes
December 2
Yes
December 3
Yes
December 4
No
December 5
Yes
December 6
No
December 7
No
December 8
Yes
December 9
No
December 10
No
December 11
No
December 12
No
December 13
Yes
December 14
No
December 15
No
December 16
No
December 17
No
December 18
Yes
December 19
Yes
December 20
Yes
December 21
Yes
December 22
No
December 23
No
December 24
No
December 25
Yes
December 26
No
December 27
No
December 28
No
December 29
No
December 30
No
December 31
No
About
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.




Beware of external links.
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