Which parties will lose seats in Japanese snap election?
Which parties will lose seats in Japanese snap election?
$134,829 Vol.
Feb 8, 2026

LDP
No

JIP
No

DPFP
No

Sanseitō
No

Reiwa
Yes

JCP
Yes

CPJ
Yes

SDP
No

Mirai
No
$134,829 Vol.

LDP
$27,298 Vol.
No

JIP
$3,356 Vol.
No

DPFP
$7,828 Vol.
No

Sanseitō
$7,046 Vol.
No

Reiwa
$11,215 Vol.
Yes

JCP
$2,879 Vol.
Yes

CPJ
$23,615 Vol.
Yes

SDP
$29,543 Vol.
No

Mirai
$22,049 Vol.
No
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party loses at least 1 seat in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of resolution, a party’s seat count will be compared to the number of seats that party held immediately prior to the dissolution of the House of Representatives for the 2026 Japanese snap election, which may differ from the number of seats won in the previous general election.
If the results of this election aren't known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party loses at least 1 seat in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of resolution, a party’s seat count will be compared to the number of seats that party held immediately prior to the dissolution of the House of Representatives for the 2026 Japanese snap election, which may differ from the number of seats won in the previous general election.
If the results of this election aren't known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party loses at least 1 seat in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of resolution, a party’s seat count will be compared to the number of seats that party held immediately prior to the dissolution of the House of Representatives for the 2026 Japanese snap election, which may differ from the number of seats won in the previous general election.
If the results of this election aren't known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
Market Opened: Jan 23, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$134,829End Date
Feb 8, 2026Market Opened
Jan 23, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No

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