Recent opinion polls, including VoteVibe's March 23 survey projecting All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 184-194 seats with 41.9% vote share and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 98-108 seats with 34.9%, alongside IANS-Matrize's mid-March estimate of AITC securing 155-170 seats, underpin trader consensus favoring AITC for a majority in the 294-seat West Bengal Legislative Assembly. AITC's March 17 candidate list announcement for 291 seats, Mamata Banerjee's strong chief ministerial preference (48.5%), and incumbent advantages from 2021's 215-seat win sustain its lead, while BJP builds on its prior 77 seats amid intensifying campaigns under the Model Code of Conduct. Polling occurs April 23 and 29, with results May 4; minor parties like CPI(M), INC remain marginal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWest Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
AITC 72%
BJP 27%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$71,703 Vol.
$71,703 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
AITC
72%
BJP
27%
CPI
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
INC
<1%
BGPM
<1%
AITC 72%
BJP 27%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$71,703 Vol.
$71,703 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
AITC
$27,087 Vol.
72%
BJP
$24,974 Vol.
27%
CPI
$0 Vol.
<1%
CPI(M)
$0 Vol.
<1%
INC
$19,642 Vol.
<1%
BGPM
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Recent opinion polls, including VoteVibe's March 23 survey projecting All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 184-194 seats with 41.9% vote share and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 98-108 seats with 34.9%, alongside IANS-Matrize's mid-March estimate of AITC securing 155-170 seats, underpin trader consensus favoring AITC for a majority in the 294-seat West Bengal Legislative Assembly. AITC's March 17 candidate list announcement for 291 seats, Mamata Banerjee's strong chief ministerial preference (48.5%), and incumbent advantages from 2021's 215-seat win sustain its lead, while BJP builds on its prior 77 seats amid intensifying campaigns under the Model Code of Conduct. Polling occurs April 23 and 29, with results May 4; minor parties like CPI(M), INC remain marginal.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Market Opened: Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$71,703End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Recent opinion polls, including VoteVibe's March 23 survey projecting All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 184-194 seats with 41.9% vote share and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 98-108 seats with 34.9%, alongside IANS-Matrize's mid-March estimate of AITC securing 155-170 seats, underpin trader consensus favoring AITC for a majority in the 294-seat West Bengal Legislative Assembly. AITC's March 17 candidate list announcement for 291 seats, Mamata Banerjee's strong chief ministerial preference (48.5%), and incumbent advantages from 2021's 215-seat win sustain its lead, while BJP builds on its prior 77 seats amid intensifying campaigns under the Model Code of Conduct. Polling occurs April 23 and 29, with results May 4; minor parties like CPI(M), INC remain marginal.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Volume
$71,703End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls, including VoteVibe's March 23 survey projecting All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 184-194 seats with 41.9% vote share and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 98-108 seats with 34.9%, alongside IANS-Matrize's mid-March estimate of AITC securing 155-170 seats, underpin trader consensus favoring AITC for a majority in the 294-seat West Bengal Legislative Assembly. AITC's March 17 candidate list announcement for 291 seats, Mamata Banerjee's strong chief ministerial preference (48.5%), and incumbent advantages from 2021's 215-seat win sustain its lead, while BJP builds on its prior 77 seats amid intensifying campaigns under the Model Code of Conduct. Polling occurs April 23 and 29, with results May 4; minor parties like CPI(M), INC remain marginal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRelated
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