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Politics·Primaries

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Nate Blouin 48%

Ben McAdams 48%

Kathleen Riebe 6.3%

Jenny Wilson 1.0%

Polymarket

$10,898 Vol.

Nate Blouin 48%

Ben McAdams 48%

Kathleen Riebe 6.3%

Jenny Wilson 1.0%

Polymarket

$10,898 Vol.

Nate Blouin

$1,917 Vol.

48%

Ben McAdams

$5,494 Vol.

48%

Kathleen Riebe

$0 Vol.

6%

Jenny Wilson

$0 Vol.

1%

Brian King

$0 Vol.

1%

Erin Mendenhall

$3,486 Vol.

1%

Luz Escamilla

$0 Vol.

1%

Caroline Gleich

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kael Weston

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Utah's newly redrawn, Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus gives former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams a slim 48% edge over state Sen. Nate Blouin at 47% for the June 23 Democratic primary nomination, underscoring a tight centrist-progressive divide. Record-breaking turnout at the March 17 neighborhood caucuses—fueled by excitement over the blue district—has heightened engagement, with recent Gen Z forums and March town halls spotlighting debates on Israel policy, immigration, and taxing the rich. McAdams leverages past incumbency experience and early fundraising leads, while Blouin draws progressive endorsements from Bernie Sanders and Pramila Jayapal. Separation could emerge from upcoming county conventions, the April 25 state convention (needing 60% for nomination bypass), initial polls, or Q1 FEC reports.

In Utah's newly redrawn, Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus gives former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams a slim 48% edge over state Sen. Nate Blouin at 47% for the June 23 Democratic primary nomination, underscoring a tight centrist-progressive divide. Record-breaking turnout at the March 17 neighborhood caucuses—fueled by excitement over the blue district—has heightened engagement, with recent Gen Z forums and March town halls spotlighting debates on Israel policy, immigration, and taxing the rich. McAdams leverages past incumbency experience and early fundraising leads, while Blouin draws progressive endorsements from Bernie Sanders and Pramila Jayapal. Separation could emerge from upcoming county conventions, the April 25 state convention (needing 60% for nomination bypass), initial polls, or Q1 FEC reports.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Utah's newly redrawn, Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus gives former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams a slim 48% edge over state Sen. Nate Blouin at 47% for the June 23 Democratic primary nomination, underscoring a tight centrist-progressive divide. Record-breaking turnout at the March 17 neighborhood caucuses—fueled by excitement over the blue district—has heightened engagement, with recent Gen Z forums and March town halls spotlighting debates on Israel policy, immigration, and taxing the rich. McAdams leverages past incumbency experience and early fundraising leads, while Blouin draws progressive endorsements from Bernie Sanders and Pramila Jayapal. Separation could emerge from upcoming county conventions, the April 25 state convention (needing 60% for nomination bypass), initial polls, or Q1 FEC reports.

In Utah's newly redrawn, Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus gives former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams a slim 48% edge over state Sen. Nate Blouin at 47% for the June 23 Democratic primary nomination, underscoring a tight centrist-progressive divide. Record-breaking turnout at the March 17 neighborhood caucuses—fueled by excitement over the blue district—has heightened engagement, with recent Gen Z forums and March town halls spotlighting debates on Israel policy, immigration, and taxing the rich. McAdams leverages past incumbency experience and early fundraising leads, while Blouin draws progressive endorsements from Bernie Sanders and Pramila Jayapal. Separation could emerge from upcoming county conventions, the April 25 state convention (needing 60% for nomination bypass), initial polls, or Q1 FEC reports.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nate Blouin" at 48%, followed by "Ben McAdams" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $10.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Nate Blouin" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ben McAdams" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.